Urban shrinkage effect:Conceptual connotation,Chinese logic,and diagnosis of Northeast China
Urban shrinkage effect exists simultaneously as the cause and result of urban shrinkage,which is the premise and basis for revealing the context and mechanism of the formation of shrinking cities and scientifically formulating response strategies.In view of the lack of a systematic conceptual cognition and theoretical analysis framework for urban shrinkage effect in the current academic circle,this study examined the conceptual connotation of urban shrinkage effect and its Chinese logic,and the effect of regional urban shrinkage in Northeast China.The research pointed out that:1)Urban shrinkage effect refers to the feedback of changes in regional relationship,urban area internal operation efficiency,and urban resident happiness index brought about by the"re-location"of relevant development factors such as urban population,capital,and enterprises under the action of spatial correlation and coupling between cities and regions,surrounding cities,and rural areas in the specific context of urban shrinkage.It has the characteristics of comprehensive and multi-dimensional representation,the distinction between positive and negative effects of scale and dimension,path continuity,and contextual relevance of development.According to the relevant subjects,the research content of urban shrinkage effect can be divided into three dimensions:Regional relationship,urban area internal operation efficiency,and urban resident happiness index.In the empirical analysis,it is appropriate to use the matching method,difference-in-differences method,panel effect model,and comparative induction method for evaluation.2)The research on urban shrinkage effect in the context of China should emphasize using multi-source data,new technical means,and new concepts to evaluate the urban shrinkage effect in China,analyzing and clarifying the Chinese logic generated by urban shrinkage effect,taking regional overall development as the governance goal in response to the contraction effect,and designing a people-oriented differentiation path as the means to respond to the contraction effect.3)The urban shrinkage effect of regional urban shrinkage in Northeast China has both positive and negative attributes,but the overall disadvantages far outweigh the advantages,and it is unreasonable to simply regard urban shrinkage as a phenomenon of population outflow and only emphasize the unilateral urban shrinkage effect.The proposition that shrinkage promotes the large-scale,mechanized,and intensive development of agriculture in Northeast China lacks sufficient basis and support at present.In fact,urban shrinkage effect restrains the radiation driving effect of the city on the countryside to some extent and promotes the development of the urban-rural relationship to a low level of equilibrium.The research results are an expansion of the existing research on urban shrinkage and its sinicization,which may provide a strong support for the governance of China's shrinking cities and the revitalization of Northeast China.
urban shrinkageurban shrinkage effectconceptual connotationChinese logicdiagnosis of Northeast China