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数字经济提升旅游经济韧性的作用机制及空间效应

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数字经济赋能旅游智慧化转型,成为中国旅游经济稳定可持续发展的新着力点.论文在厘清数字经济对旅游经济韧性的时空影响机理基础上,基于中国211个优秀旅游城市2011-2020年面板数据,采用中介效应模型、空间面板杜宾模型等方法检验了数字经济对旅游经济韧性的影响机制及空间溢出效应,研究发现:①空间分布上,研究期内数字经济发展始终呈现出东高西低的分布态势,并在区域内呈"组团式"片状分布形态;旅游经济韧性在研究期内分布相对分散,东、中、西以及东北地区空间差距呈现收敛趋势;②数字经济对旅游经济韧性产生显著的正向影响,数字经济发展水平每提高1个单位,旅游经济韧性提升0.2748,该结果通过了稳健性检验;③在数字经济对旅游经济韧性的影响机制方面,数字经济通过在抵抗力维度提高旅游经济增长水平、在恢复力维度提高技术载体和在重组能力维度提高人力资本从而促进旅游经济韧性的提升,即旅游经济增长、技术载体和人力资本是数字经济对旅游经济韧性产生显著正向影响的主要路径;④数字经济发展赋能了本地旅游经济韧性提升,但对相邻城市的旅游经济韧性产生"虹吸效应".研究结果不仅丰富了数字经济作为旅游经济韧性的前置影响因素的研究,而且为数字经济赋能旅游经济高质量发展提供参考.
Mechanism of impact and spatial effects of digital economy in enhancing tourism economic resilience
The digital economy enables the intelligent transformation of tourism,and has become a new focus for the stable and sustainable development of China's tourism economy.On the basis of clarifying the spatiotemporal mechanism of impact of the digital economy on tourism economic resilience,this study used the panel data from 211 excellent tourism cities in China from 2011 to 2020 and the mediation effect model and panel threshold spatial Durbin model to test the mechanism and spatial spillover effect of the digital economy impact on tourism economic resilience.The results show that:1)Spatially,the development of the digital economy during the research period consistently showed a distribution trend of high in the east and low in the west,and exhibited a clustered patchy distribution pattern within regions;tourism economic resilience was relatively dispersed during the research period,and the spatial differences between the eastern,central,western,and northeastern regions showed a trend of convergence.2)The digital economy had a significant positive impact on tourism economic resilience.For every 1 unit increase in the level of digital economy development,tourism economic resilience increased by 0.2748,which has passed the robustness test.3)In terms of the mechanism of impact of the digital economy on tourism economic resilience,the digital economy promoted the improvement of tourism economic resilience by increasing the level of tourism economic growth in the dimension of resistance ability,improving the technology carrier in the dimension of recovery capacity,and improving human capital in the dimension of reorganization ability.That is,tourism economic growth,technology carrier,and human capital are the main paths through which the digital economy has a significant positive impact on tourism economic resilience.4)The development of the digital economy has empowered the local tourism economy to enhance its resilience,but it has a siphon effect on tourism economic resilience of neighboring cities.The results of this study enrich the research on the antecedent factors affecting tourism economic resilience,and provide a reference for decision making based on the digital economy to empower high-quality development of the tourism economy.

digital economytourism economic resiliencemechanism of impactspatial spillover

朱静敏、卢小丽

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大连理工大学经济管理学院,辽宁大连 116024

数字经济 旅游经济韧性 影响机制 空间溢出效应

国家社会科学基金项目

21GBL290

2024

地理科学进展
中国科学院地理科学与资源研究所 中国地理学会

地理科学进展

CSTPCDCSSCI北大核心
影响因子:2.458
ISSN:1007-6301
年,卷(期):2024.43(10)