Settlement intention of westward migrants in China and its influencing factors
Population is the dominant factor of regional development.In the context of coordinated population and regional development,this study took the Hu Huanyong line as reference to define the westward migrants,whose outflow place is in the southeastern side of Hu Huanyong line,while inflow place is in the northwestern side of Hu Huanyong line.Based on this definition,this study analyzed the settlement intention of China's westward migrants and its influencing factors.The analysis used the data of the China Migrants Dynamic Survey in 2017 and the corresponding regional data,and the non-parametric test and multilevel mixed-effects logistic regression methods.The results are as follows:1)About 30%of the westward migrants chose stable residence,and the settlement intention is at a relatively low level while the vast majority of migrants chose temporary residence.With regard to destination cities,with the increase of urban scale,the settlement intention of migrants became higher.2)The westward migrants from central China to the northwestern provincial capital cities or regional central cities were more likely to choose stable residence.3)Settlement intention was influenced by both economic and non-economic factors.At the individual level,residence time,family size,family income,employer status,ownership of housing,active social interaction and psychological integration,and participation in social health insurance had positive effects on settlement intention.The migrants from the northern cities to the southeast of the Hu Huanyong line had a higher settlement intention.At the regional level,altitude had an inhibitory effect on settlement intention,while local development vitality and city size played a positive role.However,GDP per capita and medical and health conditions played no significant role.Based on the above research findings,this study recommend to promote the settlement intention of the westward migrants by steadily increasing income,constructing family-friendly policy system,creating inclusive social and cultural environment,and let urban agglomerations play a leading role.
settlement intentionHu Huanyong linemigrantswestward flownorthwestern side of Hu Huanyong line