Spatial influence of police inspection activities on theft crimes:A case study in Haining City,Zhejiang
As the main actor in crime prevention and control,the activities of the police department have an important impact on the spatial trend of criminal activities.This study focused on the police inspection activity data and theft crime data from May to December 2019 in Haining City of Zhangjiang Province.Grids were employed as the spatial units of analysis,and the study used kernel density estimation and spatial autocorrelation analysis to examine the spatial distribution characteristics of police inspections and theft crimes.Additionally,a spatial regression model was constructed to analyze the impact of different types of police inspections,including routine security checks,inspections of public complex industries,and inspections of key units,on theft crimes.The findings are as follows:1)Both police inspections and theft crimes exhibited spatial clustering characteristics,with some overlap in hotspot areas.While the spatial distributions of routine security checks,inspections of public complex industries,and inspections of key units were generally similar,there existed certain differences.2)Inspections of public complex industries and key units were significantly negatively correlated with theft crimes,whereas routine security checks showed a significant positive correlation with theft crimes.3)Routine security checks in adjacent areas were significantly positively correlated with theft crimes in the local area,suggesting a potential phenomenon of crime site displacement.These results suggest that inspections of public complex industries and key units played a significant inhibitory role in theft crimes,while routine security checks may lead to crime site displacement.The conclusions of this study provide significant reference value for clarifying the relationship between police activities and crime,as well as for assessing the effectiveness of police activities in crime prevention and control.
crime geographypolice inspection activitiestheft crimesspatial Durbin error model
万方数据
