首页|2000-2020年中国就近城镇化区域差异分解与趋同格局

2000-2020年中国就近城镇化区域差异分解与趋同格局

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就近城镇化是相对于异地城镇化的新型城镇化发展路径,深刻影响着城镇化发展水平和空间布局。论文利用泰尔指数嵌套分解和空间马尔可夫链模型,深入分析中国就近城镇化发展的总体差异及其分解,详细刻画中国就近城镇化发展的区域趋同格局,重点探讨了空间效应对就近城镇化的影响。结果表明:①2000-2020年中国就近城镇化水平的总体差异呈持续缩小趋势,其中,本省城镇化率的总体差异最大,本县城镇化率次之,本镇城镇化率最小。②从尺度分解来看,中国就近城镇化及其三个细分类型(本省城镇化、本县城镇化和本镇城镇化)表现为省内差异最大。比较中国东、东北、中、西四大板块内的省间差异,西部的省间差异最大,其他板块相对较小;比较四大板块的省内差异,西部和中部各省的省内差异较大,而东部和东北较小。③从趋同格局来看,中国就近城镇化及其细分类型存在空间上的趋同俱乐部。中国就近城镇化发展与周围环境具有明显的空间联动效应,存在一定的空间溢出效应。研究为全面把握中国城镇化的区域差异、合理提出城镇化差异性措施提供科学基础。
Regional difference decomposition and convergence pattern of nearby urbanization in China from 2000 to 2020
Nearby urbanization is a new urbanization development path relative to remote urbanization,which refers to the process in which the rural population migrates to small and medium-sized cities and towns near their home areas for employment and residence rather than to distant places.Under the background of new-type urbanization,the regional difference of nearby urbanization constitutes a significant part of China's overall regional urbanization disparities,and it will profoundly affect China's urbanization process and the coordinated development of the economy and society.In this study,we used Theil index nested decomposition and the spatial Markov chain model to analyze the overall difference and decomposition of China's nearby urbanization development,and describe the regional convergence pattern of China's nearby urbanization development in detail,focusing on the impact of spatial effects on the nearby urbanization.The results show that:1)From 2000 to 2020,the overall difference of nearby urbanization level in China showed a trend of continuous narrowing,consistent with the gradual narrowing of the development direction of the country's regional nearby urbanization gap.The overall difference of the urbanization rate within provinces was the largest,followed by the urbanization rate within counties,and the urbanization rate within towns was the smallest.2)From the perspective of scale decomposition,local urbanization and its three subtypes(provincial urbanization,county urbanization,and town urbanization)showed the largest differences within provinces.By comparing the inter-provincial differences in the four regions,the western region had the largest inter-provincial differences,while the other regions showed relatively small differences.Comparing the intra-provincial differences of the four regions,the differences in the western and central provinces were large,while the differences in the eastern and northeastern provinces were small.3)With regard to convergence patterns,there were spatial convergence clubs for nearby urbanization and its decompostions in China.The development of nearby urbanization in China showed obvious spatial linkage effect with the surrounding environment,and there was a certain spatial spillover effect.The results imply that the regional inequality of nearby urbanization in China follows the neoclassical convergence hypothesis and will narrow in the long term.Overall,the regional inequality of nearby urbanization in China from 2000 to 2020 stemmed mainly from inter-provincial inequality,especially in the central and western regions.With the improvement of the development level and radiation capacity of central cities in central and western China,we should strengthen support for the economic development of secondary regional node cities and improvement of public service facilities in small towns.This study provides a scientific support for comprehensively grasping the regional differences of urbanization in China and scientifically formulating the strategic measures of differentiated urbanization.

nearby urbanizationregional differencescale decompositionspatial and temporal patternsspatial Markov chains

赵美风、闫玘娇、杨振、李俊佳

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天津师范大学地理学部,天津 300387

江苏师范大学地理测绘与城乡规划学院,江苏徐州 221116

就近城镇化 区域差异 尺度分解 时空格局 空间马尔科夫链

2024

地理科学进展
中国科学院地理科学与资源研究所 中国地理学会

地理科学进展

CSTPCDCSSCI北大核心
影响因子:2.458
ISSN:1007-6301
年,卷(期):2024.43(12)