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京津冀城区森林植被碳汇遥感评估与预测

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城市植树是中国重要的人工造林途径,理论上是吸收城市碳排放的重要功能区,但目前仍难以定量地评估城市森林植被的碳汇现状及其碳汇潜力.论文以森林演替理论中生物量与林龄关系为基础(FCS模型),利用30 m高分辨率的遥感影像数据,结合IPCC未来气候情景数据,评估和预测了京津冀城区 1985-2020年新增森林植被碳汇现状及潜力.结果表明:1985-2020年京津冀城区新增森林植被固碳总量约为14.28万t,其中北京城区固碳量最多,约10.34万t,可能原因是北京城区森林面积增速最大.到2060年,这部分新增森林植被碳汇潜力将近39.72万t,碳汇潜力最大的仍然是北京城区,约25.93万t.从市或区级行政单元来看,1985-2020年北京城区新增森林植被固碳量最大的是石景山区,天津城区最大的是蓟州区,河北城市区最大的是承德市;而未来碳汇潜力却存在差异,北京城区碳汇潜力最大的区域为顺义区,天津城区为蓟州区,河北城市区为廊坊市.这表明不同区域在历史固碳量和未来碳汇潜力上存在明显的差异,也启示未来城市森林碳汇管理中需要将碳汇现状和潜力进行统筹考虑.研究创新性地提出了一种精准量化城市森林碳汇的评估方法,其成果将为城市森林碳汇的科学管理与优化策略提供重要参考.
Remote sensing assessment and prediction of forest vegetation carbon sequestration in the Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei urban area
Urban afforestation has been a significant artificial forestation approach in China.In theory,it serves as a crucial sink for urban carbon emissions,but it remains challenging to quantitatively assess the current status and potential of carbon sequestration of urban forest vegetation.This study,based on the biomass-age relationship in forest succession theory(FCS model),used 30-m high-resolution remote sensing imagery data and integrated IPCC climate scenario data to assess and predict the current status and potential of carbon sequestration in newly added forest vegetation in the Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei urban area from 1985 to 2020.The research findings indicate that the total carbon sequestration in newly added forest vegetation in the area from 1985 to 2020 is approximately 14.28 x 104 t,with Beijing urban area having the highest carbon sequestration amount of about 10.34 × 104 t,possibly due to the largest growth rate of urban forest area in Beijing.By 2060,the potential carbon sequestration of this newly added forest vegetation is expected to be close to 39.72 × 104 t,with Beijing urban area still having the highest potential of around 25.93 × 104 t.From the perspective of city or district-level administrative units,in the period from 1985 to 2020,the district with the highest carbon sequestration in newly added forest vegetation in Beijing urban area was Shijingshan District,while in Tianjin urban area it was Jizhou District,and in Hebei urban area it was Chengde City.However,carbon sequestration potential differs,with Shunyi District becoming the area with the highest potential in Beijing urban area,Jizhou District remaining the highest in Tianjin urban area,and Langfang City becoming the highest in Hebei urban area.It is evident that there are significant differences in historical carbon sequestration and future carbon sink potential among different urban areas,which also suggests that future management of urban forest carbon sinks needs to integrate the current status and potential of carbon sinks comprehensively.This study innovatively proposed an accurate assessment method for quantifying urban forest carbon sinks,and its research findings provide important references for the scientific management and optimization strategies of urban forest carbon sinks.

urban areacarbon sinkcarbon sequestrationFCS modelforest vegetationBeijing-Tianjin-Hebei region

温丁、徐丽、王春燕、曾嘉霁、何念鹏

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易智瑞信息技术有限公司,北京 100028

中国科学院地理科学与资源研究所,中国科学院生态系统网络观测与模拟重点实验室,北京 100101

中国科学院大学资源与环境学院,北京 100049

北京航空航天大学实验学校分校,北京 100088

西南财经大学数学学院,成都 611130

东北林业大学生态中心,哈尔滨 150040

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城区 碳汇 固碳潜力 FCS模型 森林植被 京津冀

2024

地理科学进展
中国科学院地理科学与资源研究所 中国地理学会

地理科学进展

CSTPCDCSSCI北大核心
影响因子:2.458
ISSN:1007-6301
年,卷(期):2024.43(12)