首页|产业数字化转型减少碳减排有几何?——基于30国面板数据的经验研究

产业数字化转型减少碳减排有几何?——基于30国面板数据的经验研究

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在新一轮科技革命和产业变革关键期,各国温室效应日益加剧,基于"产业—环境理论"框架,采用2000~2014年间30个国家面板数据研究产业数字化转型对碳减排的影响效应,研究发现:一国产业数字化转型显著减少碳排放,这一研究结果非常稳健.考虑到各产业数字化转型可能存在异质性影响,分别论证了农业、制造业、服务业数字化转型对各国碳减排的影响效应,其中农业促进作用最大,其次是制造业,而服务业中的生产性服务业数字化转型反向增加碳排放量,消费性服务对碳减排效应不显著.通过充分验证行业生产效率的中间机制,表明一国产业数字化转型可以通过提高行业生产效率促进其碳减排的生态文明建设目标的实现.我国作为世界最大的发展中国家,推进农业、制造业数字化转型是有利于我国"双碳"目标的实现,有利于我国在"十四五"时期实现产业高质量发展、加快美丽中国建设步伐,这是值得大力推进和长期坚持的可持续发展路径,其现实意义重大而突出.对生产性服务业数字化转型反向增加碳排要做好重点监测和控制,避免一致化的产业数字化转型策略的不科学性.
Does Industry Digital Transformation Affect Carbon Emission Reduction?An Empirical Analysis Based on the Panel Data of 30 Countries
At the critical period of the new round of technological revolution and industrial transformation,and with the increasing greenhouse effect in various countries,this study uses the industry-environment theory framework and panel data from 30 countries from 2000 to 2014 to examine the impact of industrial digital trans-formation on carbon emission reduction.The research finds that a country's industrial digital transformation significantly reduces carbon emissions,and this result is very robust.Considering the potential heterogeneous effects of digital transformation across industries,the study separately examines the impact of digital transfor-mation in agriculture,manufacturing,and services on carbon emission reduction.Among these,the promotion effect of agriculture is the largest,followed by manufacturing,while the digital transformation of productive services in the service industry reversely increases carbon emissions,and the effect of consumer services on car-bon emission reduction is not significant.By fully verifying the intermediate mechanism of industry production efficiency,the study shows that a country's industrial digital transformation can promote the realization of its ecological civilization construction goals of carbon emission reduction by improving industry production efficien-cy.Considering the reality of China as the world's largest developing country,promoting the digital transfor-mation of agriculture and manufacturing is conducive to achieving China's"dual carbon"goals.It is very bene-ficial for China to achieve high-quality industrial development during the"14th Five-Year Plan"period while ac-celerating the pace of building a beautiful China.It is a sustainable development path that is worth vigorously promoting and adhering to for the long term,and its practical significance is significant and prominent.The re-verse increase in carbon emissions caused by the digital transformation of productive services should be closely monitored and controlled to avoid the unscientific nature of a uniform industrial digital transformation strategy.

Industry digital transformationCarbon emission reductionHeterogeneity effects

杨玲

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上海大学经济学院,上海 200444

产业数字化转型 碳减排 异质性影响效应

2024

大连理工大学学报(社会科学版)
大连理工大学

大连理工大学学报(社会科学版)

CSSCICHSSCD北大核心
影响因子:0.8
ISSN:1008-407X
年,卷(期):2024.45(5)