首页|中国与厄瓜多尔自由贸易协定(FTA)的贸易效应研究——基于GTAP动态递归的模拟分析

中国与厄瓜多尔自由贸易协定(FTA)的贸易效应研究——基于GTAP动态递归的模拟分析

Study on the Trade Effects of FTAs Between China and Ecuador——Simulation Analysis Based on GTAP Dynamic Recursion

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2023 年 5 月,中国与厄瓜多尔签署自由贸易协定,中厄FTA将对两国双边贸易产生重要影响.通过分析中国与厄瓜多尔的贸易现状及竞争与互补关系,运用动态递归GTAP模型模拟分析中厄FTA的贸易效应.研究发现,中国与厄瓜多尔双边贸易规模逐年上升,两国贸易互补性较强.FTA的关税减让将促进中国与厄瓜多尔双边贸易增长,降低技术性贸易壁垒、提升贸易便利化水平对两国贸易的影响更显著,且FTA更有利于中方扩大对厄方的出口.中厄双方需加快推进FTA各项条款的生效及实施,中方应增加进口厄方的资源型产品,扩大对其出口和直接投资.
In May 2023,China and Ecuador signed a free trade agreement,which will have a significant impact on bilateral trade between the two countries.By analyzing the current status and competition and complementary relationship between China and Ecuador,the thesis uses dy-namic recursive GTAP model simulation analysis of the trade effect of the FTA.Studies have found that the scale of bilateral trade between China and Ecuador has increased year by year,and the trade complementarity between the two countries is strong.The FTA tariff reduction will promote the growth of bilateral trade between China and Ecuador,reduce technological trade barriers,and improve the impact of trade facilitation on the trade between the two countries,and the FTA is more conducive to expanding the exports of China.The two parties in China need to accelerate the effectiveness and implementation of various clauses of the FTA.China should in-crease its imported resource-based products and expand its exports and direct investment.

China-Ecuador FTAtrade effectsGTAP model

赵青松、余灿

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新疆财经大学国际经贸学院,新疆 乌鲁木齐 830012

新疆财经大学丝路经济与管理研究院,新疆 乌鲁木齐 830012

中国-厄瓜多尔FTA 贸易效应 GTAP模型

新疆财经大学智库调研项目

ZKZB2302

2024

大连民族大学学报
大连民族学院

大连民族大学学报

CHSSCD
影响因子:0.266
ISSN:1009-315X
年,卷(期):2024.26(2)
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