首页|"数字丝绸之路"背景下中俄双边贸易流量与合作潜力研究

"数字丝绸之路"背景下中俄双边贸易流量与合作潜力研究

Research on Bilateral Trade Flows and Potential of China and Russia in the Context of"Digital Silk Road"

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基于2010至2020年中俄双边贸易数据,以贸易引力模型探究物流绩效指数(LPI)、信息技术发展水平(IDI)、产品质量升级对贸易的促进作用并模拟测算贸易潜力值.研究发现产品质量升级对双边贸易增长的促进作用程度最高、物流绩效水平、信息发展水平的促进影响次之;该促进作用对不同产品类型、不同贸易阶段成立,在更换测度指标以及构建Bartik工具变量后,上述结论仍成立.另外,从中俄贸易产品结构、贸易产品质量方面统计分析发现中俄两国贸易互补性强,但存在显著的产品质量差异.
Based on bilateral trade data between China and Russia from 2010 to 2020,this study employs a trade gravity model to explore the impact of logistics performance index(LPI),information technology development index(IDI),and product quality upgrading on trade promotion,and simulate the trade potential value.The research finds that product quality upgrading has the highest promoting effect on bilateral trade growth,followed by logistics performance level and information development level.This promoting effect holds for different types of products and different stages of trade.Even after changing measurement indicators and constructing Bartik instrumental variables,the above conclusions remain valid.Additionally,statistical analysis of the trade product structure and trade product quality between China and Russia reveals strong complementarity in trade but significant differences in product quality.

China-Russia tradedigital economicsgravity modeltrade potentialtrade facilitation

江东坡、金梦佳

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贵州大学 经济学院,贵州 贵阳 550025

中俄贸易 数字经济 引力模型 贸易潜力 贸易便利化

2024

大连民族大学学报
大连民族学院

大连民族大学学报

CHSSCD
影响因子:0.266
ISSN:1009-315X
年,卷(期):2024.26(6)