The influence of the drought disaster caused by El Nino events in Guangdong Province in recent 60 years
El Nino has a great influence on the global climate and it also influences the climate of Guangdong province. Based on the systematic classification of El Nino disaster, this paper studies the correlation between El Nino and drought disaster in Guangdong Province in recent 60 years by means of X2 inspection and condition probability inspection. Then the paper draws the conclusion that drought disaster of Guangdong Province has a close relationship with El Nino events. Out of 23 drought events, 17 times relate with El Nino events. In addition, the paper examines the influence on the drought disaster in Guangdong Province caused by different kinds of El Nino disasters. The result indicated that there is a certain relationship between the intensity, season and duration of El Nino occurrence and the droughts in Guangdong. Generally medium and strong El Nino events lead to drought in Guangdong Province. The El Nino events in spring and autumn are not prone to drought while those in summer are prone to. Successive El Nino events often lead to occurrence of drought in this region.
El Nino eventsdrought disastercorrelation analysisGuangdong Province
NETL
NSTL
万方数据
维普
