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电商示范县空间分布特征及其对创业活力的影响

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在新发展阶段,激发地区内生发展动力,增强创业活力是巩固脱贫攻坚成果和乡村振兴的关键所在.本文基于2014-2020年中国电商示范县试点和新创企业数据,采用标准差椭圆、核密度分析和马尔科夫链等方法,刻画电商示范县试点和当地创业活力的时空演变特征.在此基础上,以云南省为例,采用多期双重差分模型实证检验电商示范县试点对当地创业活力的影响及其内在机制.结果表明:①电商示范县试点分布范围不断扩大,时空演化呈现由散点式分布向连片集聚式分布转变,西北和西南地区逐渐成为政策覆盖的重点;在研究期间内试点地区的创业活力呈上升趋势,马太效应明显.②电商示范县试点降低了地理因素和人口规模对创业活力的限制,显著促进了当地创业活力的提升,其中对农业和金融业的促进作用更明显.③试点政策主要通过提高传统和数字金融发展水平、推动农业现代化和加快基础设施建设等途径提升了当地创业活力.④进一步从共同富裕视角来看,电商示范县试点有利于提高农民收入,缩小县域城乡收入差距.以上结论为新时代乡村振兴战略决策提供了理论参考,也为如何激发地区创业活力提供了来自电商示范项目的可行路径.
Spatial characteristics of e-commerce demonstration county and its impact on entrepreneurial vitality
In the new stage of development,stimulating regional endogenous development momentum and enhancing entrepreneurial vitality are the key paths to consolidate the achievements of poverty alleviation and rural revitalization.Based on the data of China's e-commerce demonstration county pilots and newly registered enterprises from 2014 to 2020,this paper uses standard deviation ellipse,kernel density analysis and Markov chain to delineate the spatial and temporal evolution characteristics of e-commerce demonstration county pilots and its entrepreneurial vitality.On this basis,taking Yunnan province as an example,the multi-period difference-in-differences model is used to empirically test the impact of e-commerce demonstration counties on local entrepreneurial vitality and its internal mechanism.The results show that:(1)The pilot distribution of e-commerce demonstration counties continues to expand,and the spatiotemporal evolution shows a shift from scattered distribution to a continuous agglomeration distribution relying on multiple cores,with the northwest and southwest regions gradually becoming the focus of policy coverage.Besides,the entrepreneurial vitality of the pilot areas shows an upward trend during the study period.The Matthew chain results show that there is a possibility of the level of entrepreneurial vitality of the pilot transferring to higher-level types,and has a significant Matthew effect.(2)The e-commerce demonstration county pilots significantly improve the local entrepreneurial vitality,and this conclusion is still valid after a series of robustness tests.The pilot policies reduce the restrictions of geographical factors and population size on entrepreneurial vitality,and have a more significant promoting effect on agricultural and finance industry,but their impact on manufacturing industry and technology service industry are not significant.(3)Mechanism analysis shows that the pilot policy improves the development level of traditional and digital finance,promotes agricultural modernization and accelerates infrastructure construction,thereby enhancing local entrepreneurial vitality.(4)Further from the perspective of common prosperity,the e-commerce demonstration county pilots are conducive to increasing farmers'income and narrowing the urban-rural income gap.The above conclusions provide theoretical reference for the strategic decision-making of rural revitalization in the new era,and also provide a feasible path for stimulating regional entrepreneurial vitality from e-commerce demonstration projects.

e-commerce demonstration countyentrepreneurship vitalityrural revitalizationspatial distributionmechanism analysis

郭艺、曾刚、杨阳、曹贤忠、王胜鹏

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华东师范大学中国现代城市研究中心,上海 200062

华东师范大学地理科学学院,上海 200241

河南大学地理与环境学院,开封 475004

电商示范县 创业活力 乡村振兴 空间分布 机制分析

国家自然科学基金重点项目国家自然科学基金面上项目

4213051042171184

2024

地理研究
中国科学院地理科学与资源研究所

地理研究

CSTPCDCSSCICHSSCD北大核心
影响因子:2.214
ISSN:1000-0585
年,卷(期):2024.43(1)
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