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中国城市群一体化水平测度与辐射能力分析

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城市群作为引领区域经济发展的空间聚合体,研究其内部一体化水平和外部辐射能力对城市群高质量发展和区域协调发展具有重要意义.基于此,本文使用2006-2019年中国284个地级及以上城市数据,构建嵌入内生时空权重矩阵的CD生产函数,测度中国19个城市群内部和外部要素空间溢出效应,以其作为城市群的一体化水平和辐射能力的衡量标准,并进一步分析两者之间关系.研究发现:①在MORAN指数、GEARY指数和GO指数内生时空权重矩阵中,以MORAN指数内生时空权重矩阵为基础的CD生产函数测度结果最优,其能够较为精确地分解出所测城市群的内部和外部要素空间溢出效应.②在时序发展上,处于一体化水平和辐射能力高值地区的城市群个数较少,而处于低值地区的城市群个数较多,城市群一体化水平和辐射能力整体偏低,但近年来有上升的趋势.③在空间演化上,东部地区城市群的一体化水平和辐射能力较强,西部地区城市群较弱.其中长三角城市群、珠三角城市群和京津冀城市群位居前三,兰西城市群、宁夏沿黄城市群和天山北坡城市群则排名靠后.④城市群一体化能够显著提升其辐射能力,并且东、中、西、东北四大板块所属城市群的异质性特征明显.同时,对外开放水平、信息化水平和交通基础设施水平对城市群辐射能力有正向作用,金融发展水平则产生负向作用.
Measuring integrative level and analysis of radiative capacity in China's urban agglomerations
As a spatial aggregator leading regional economic development,the study of the level of internal integration and external radiation capacity of urban agglomerations is of great significance to the high-quality development of urban agglomerations and the coordinated development of the region.This paper uses the data of 284 prefecture-level and above cities in China from 2006-2019 to construct CD production functions embedded in endogenous spatio-temporal weight matrices to measure the integrative level and the radiative capacity of the urban agglomerations,and further analyses the relationship between the two.The study finds that:(1)Among the endogenous spatio-temporal weight matrices of MORAN,GEARY and GO indices,the CD production function based on the matrix of MORAN index is the most optimal one,which is able to accurately decompose the spatial spillover effects of internal and external factors.(2)In terms of temporal development,there are fewer urban agglomerations in areas with high values of integrative level and radiative capacity,while there are more urban agglomerations in areas with low values,and the integrative level and radiative capacity of the urban agglomerations as a whole are on the low side,but there is an upward trend in recent years.(3)In terms of spatial evolution,the integrative level and radiative capacity of urban agglomerations in the eastern region are stronger,while those of the western region are weaker.The Yangtze River Delta urban agglomeration,the Pearl River Delta urban agglomeration and the Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei urban agglomeration are in the top three,while the Lanzhou-Xining urban agglomeration,the Ningxia urban agglomeration along the Yellow River and the Tianshan North Slope urban agglomeration are in the back of the list.(4)The integration of urban agglomerations can significantly enhance their radiation capacity,and the heterogeneity is obvious.Meanwhile,the FDI,the informatization and the transport infrastructure have a positive effect on the radiative capacity,while the financial development has a negative effect.

urban agglomerationsspatial spillover effect of factorsintegrative levelradiative capacitycoordinated regional development

邱思远、孙伟

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中国科学院南京地理与湖泊研究所,南京 210008

中国科学院流域地理学重点实验室,南京210008

城市群 要素空间溢出效应 一体化水平 辐射能力 区域协调发展

中国科学院南京地理与湖泊研究所自主部署项目

NIGLAS2022GS06

2024

地理研究
中国科学院地理科学与资源研究所

地理研究

CSTPCDCSSCICHSSCD北大核心
影响因子:2.214
ISSN:1000-0585
年,卷(期):2024.43(2)
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