Temporal and spatial evolution of population stickiness and its impact on rural population size
The CPC Central Committee and the State Council proposed"adapting to the changing trend of rural population size",which has important practical significance for optimizing village layout,industrial structure and public service allocation.In this paper,the connotation of population stickiness in rural areas is systematically expounded.By integrating multi-source data of geographical environment and humanistic economy,and utilizing methods such as entropy method,spatial autocorrelation,and multiple linear regression,the spatial distribution pattern of population stickiness at town size in China was quantitatively characterized,and the effect of population stickiness on rural population size is deeply analyzed.The results are as follows:in terms of temporal evolution,the population stickiness of rural areas has a continuous decreasing trend;in terms of spatial evolution,the population stickiness in rural areas presents a pattern of"high in southeast and low in northwest",which is consistent with the rural population distribution in China;the high-high and low-low agglomerations of population stickiness are in the diffusion trend.The traditional resource endowment based on population stickiness has a blocking effect on rural population size,while employment opportunity,marketization degree and traffic accessibility have employment stickiness effect,synergistic linkage effect and traffic spillover effect on rural population size,respectively.From the perspective of regional effect,the population stickiness in eastern,central,western and northeastern regions has a promoting effect on rural population size,but its formation mechanisms are different.The eastern region revitalizes idle rural resources and innovates rural digital economy through market mechanisms,promotes industrial transformation,and increases the employment income of farmers.The key to the central region lies in tapping into the local resource endowment and organizational empowerment,though the development of modern agriculture and diversified cooperative organizations,to form brand effect and drive the development of the entire industrial chain of farmers,so that farmers can be embedded in local specialized cooperative organizations.The western region mainly reshapes the resource endowment of rural areas through"talented people",and then forms a multiple governance mechanism,a cooperation and sharing mechanism,and a community of interests through tourism empowerment and market-oriented operation.The northeastern region takes advantages of land size,transforms traditional agriculture and cultivates new industrial forms through technological empowerment,realizes the connection between new family farms and the market,and enhances employment opportunities and the sense of professional identity of farmers.This study effectively reveals the principles of rural population size distribution and industrial layout,further expands the theoretical basis of economic geography to explain rural population size distribution,and provides policy basis for integrating rural resource elements,narrowing the urban-rural gap,improving rural infrastructure and enhancing rural operation efficiency.
population stickinessrural population sizetemporal and spatial evolutionrural ar-eas
万方数据
维普
