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"一带一路"倡议沿线国家健康状况时空特征及影响因素

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卫生健康合作是"一带一路"倡议的重要组成部分,合作的前提是深入了解沿线国家人民健康状况及其影响因素.现有关于"一带一路"倡议的研究主要以政策、贸易、经济为主,对沿线国家的健康状况、健康状况的时空分布特征及其自然和社会经济影响因素的研究较少.本文首先构建健康指标体系,客观、全面地对沿线国家2013-2019年间的健康状况进行量化;然后,采用探索性空间分析、莫兰指数等空间分析方法对沿线国家健康状况的时空分异特征进行分析;最后,基于自然环境、社会发展水平、经济水平和个人生活习惯等健康影响因素,综合运用地理探测器、空间杜宾模型等空间分析方法,对沿线国家健康状况的影响因素进行分析.结果表明:①总体而言,"一带一路"沿线国家的健康状况好于世界平均水平,但国家之间的差异显著且具有空间相关性.欧洲及其周边区域预期寿命较高,死亡率较低,而非洲以及拉丁美洲部分区域预期寿命较低、死亡率较高.中国健康状况处于中等偏高水平.②2013-2019年沿线国家健康状况持续改善,体现在预期寿命持续上升,生育率与死亡率持续下降,并且改善的幅度显著大于非沿线国家.③多种因素在国家尺度上影响沿线国家健康状况,其中反映健康服务水平的政府健康支出、反映卫生服务可达性的全民健康覆盖程度、以及反映个人健康习惯的酒精消费和吸烟率等指标的影响最为显著."一带一路"倡议提出以来,沿线国家的健康状况有了显著的提高,但区域发展不平衡的问题依然存在.未来,有必要继续深化与沿线国家在卫生健康方面的合作,继续提高人民健康水平,促进经济社会发展.
The spatiotemporal characteristics and influencing factors of health status in the Belt and Road countries
Health cooperation is an important part of the Belt and Road Initiative(BRI),and the prerequisite for cooperation is to have an in-depth understanding of the health conditions of people in countries along the routes and the factors that affect them.Existing studies on the BRI mainly focus on policy,trade,and economy,but there are few studies on the health status of countries along the routes,the temporal and spatial distribution characteristics of health status,and the natural and socio-economic influencing factors.This study first constructed a health indicator system to objectively and comprehensively quantify the health status of countries along the routes from 2013 to 2019.Then,the spatial analysis methods such as exploratory spatial analysis,and Moran's I analysis were used to analyze the spatiotemporal differentiation of health status in countries along the routes.Finally,based on the health factors such as natural environment,social development level,economic data,and personal living habits,this paper comprehensively uses spatial analysis methods such as geographic detector and spatial Durbin model to analyze the health factors of countries along the routes.The results show that:(1)In general,the health status of countries along the Belt and Road(B&R)is better than the world average,but the differences between countries are significant and have spatial correlation.Europe and its surrounding regions have higher life expectancy and lower mortality rates,while Africa and parts of Latin America have lower life expectancy and higher mortality rates.China's health status is on the medium side.(2)From 2013 to 2019,the health status of B&R countries continued to improve,which is reflected in the continuous rise of life expectancy,and the continuous decline of fertility and mortality,and the improvement rate is significantly greater than that of non-B&R countries.(3)A variety of factors affect the health status of countries along the routes at the national scale,which reflects the social and economic development status,the degree of universal health coverage,which reflects the accessibility of health services,and alcohol consumption and smoking rate,which reflect personal health habits,have the most significant impact.As the initiator of the BRI,China's health status has improved significantly in recent years compared with other countries along the routes.In the future,it is necessary to continue to deepen health cooperation with countries along the B&R,continue to improve people's health and promote economic and social development.

health statusspatial characteristicsspatial analysissocioeconomic determinantSustainable Development GoalsBelt and Road Initiative

李颉、许泽嘉、朱竑

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广州大学地理科学与遥感学院,广州 510006

广东省城市与移民研究中心,广州 510006

广东省哲学社会科学重点实验室(广州大学海上丝绸之路重点实验室GD22TWCXGC15),广州 510006

健康状况 空间格局 空间分析 社会经济因素 可持续发展目标 "一带一路"倡议

广东省自然科学基金项目广州市教育局高校科研项目广州市基础研究计划市校(院)联合资助基础与应用基础研究项目

2022A1515011113202235023202201020149

2024

地理研究
中国科学院地理科学与资源研究所

地理研究

CSTPCDCSSCICHSSCD北大核心
影响因子:2.214
ISSN:1000-0585
年,卷(期):2024.43(10)
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