首页|中国去工业化城市的时空分布特征与影响因素

中国去工业化城市的时空分布特征与影响因素

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去工业化是技术进步、产业升级及生产全球化等因素作用下出现的区域经济现象,但过早去工业化会影响区域经济高质量发展.本文依据中国市域层面制造业占比变化特征识别去工业化城市,分析其时空分布特征,探究相关因素对城市去工业化的影响.结果发现:①2000-2020年,中国市域层面去工业化发展具有普遍性,去工业化城市比率随城市规模等级的提高而增加.去工业化城市呈现由北而南、东多西少的空间分布特征.新增去工业化城市数量随时间发展先增后减,集中出现在2011-2014年.②中国市域层面去工业化多为过早去工业化,占去工业化城市的56.48%,主要分布于中西部地区.资源型城市因其结构刚性及资源禀赋问题,更易发生过早去工业化.③城市去工业化发展受多种因素影响,金融化水平和科技创新能力等因素在产出、就业去工业化两个方面均表现出显著的正向驱动作用,生产率水平、资源禀赋、区际产业分工与合作、环境规制等因素对产出和就业去工业化表现出相异的影响.相较于生产要素成本上升对东部地区城市去工业化的显著影响,中部、西部和东北地区受金融化水平和交通连通性的推动作用更为明显.区际产业分工与合作易引致西部和东北地区去工业化现象的出现,但却利于东、中部地区工业化的发展.
Spatio-temporal distribution characteristics and influencing factors of deindustrialized cities in China
Deindustrialization is a regional economic phenomenon that has emerged as a result of technological progress,industrial upgrading and the globalization of production,but premature deindustrialization can adversely affect the high-quality development of regional economies.This paper identifies deindustrialized cities based on the characteristics of changes in the proportion of manufacturing industries at the city level in China,analyzes their spatial and temporal distribution characteristics,and explores the impact of related factors on urban deindustrialization.The results are found:(1)From 2000 to 2020,the development of deindustrialization at the municipal level in China is universal,and the ratio of deindustrialized cities increases with the increase of city size class.The number of newly added deindustrialized cities expanded and then contracted over time,with a concentration in 2011-2014.(2)Deindustrialization at the municipal level in China is more likely to be premature deindustrialization,accounting for 56.48%of deindustrialized cities,mainly in the central and western regions.Resource-oriented cities are more prone to premature deindustrialization because of their structural rigidity and resource endowment.(3)The deindustrialization of cities is influenced by various factors.Financialization and technological innovation significantly drive deindustrialization in terms of both output and employment.Factors such as productivity levels,resource endowments,interregional industrial division and cooperation,and environmental regulations have different impacts on output and employment deindustrialization.Compared to the significant impact of rising production factor costs on deindustrialization in eastern cities,the central,western,and northeastern regions are more influenced by the levels of financialization and transportation connectivity.Interregional industrial division and cooperation tend to induce deindustrialization in the western and northeastern regions,yet they facilitate industrial development in the eastern and central regions.

deindustrializationpremature deindustrializationmanufacturingregional differences

王文刚、崔承润、李敏、李汝资

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河北师范大学地理科学学院,石家庄 050024

河北省高等学校人文社会科学重点研究基地"河北师范大学地理计算与规划研究中心",石家庄 050024

河北省环境演变与生态建设实验室,石家庄 050024

南昌大学经济管理学院,南昌 330031

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去工业化 过早去工业化 制造业 区域差异

2024

地理研究
中国科学院地理科学与资源研究所

地理研究

CSTPCDCSSCICHSSCD北大核心
影响因子:2.214
ISSN:1000-0585
年,卷(期):2024.43(12)