地理研究2024,Vol.43Issue(12) :3215-3227.DOI:10.11821/dlyj020240170

珠三角公共交通需求-供给关系类型与影响因素分析

Identifying and interpreting the demand-supply relationship for potential transit service improvement in China's Pearl River Delta

杨家文 陈若宇 段阳
地理研究2024,Vol.43Issue(12) :3215-3227.DOI:10.11821/dlyj020240170

珠三角公共交通需求-供给关系类型与影响因素分析

Identifying and interpreting the demand-supply relationship for potential transit service improvement in China's Pearl River Delta

杨家文 1陈若宇 2段阳3
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作者信息

  • 1. 北京大学深圳研究生院,深圳 518055;广东省公共服务供给智能计算重点实验室,深圳 518055
  • 2. 北京大学深圳研究生院,深圳 518055;南加州大学,洛杉矶90089
  • 3. 深圳市前海深港现代服务业合作区管理局,深圳 518054
  • 折叠

摘要

随着区域一体化发展,跨行政边界的职住联系日益紧密,城市间交通需求也逐渐增长.准确认识城市群公共交通服务现状,是实现区域协调和可持续发展的前提.以珠江三角洲城市群为例,借助位置服务大数据和公共交通服务模型,分析区域职住空间联系模式与公共交通服务的关系;基于K-means聚类,计算公共交通的需求-供给关系类型,辨析潜在服务需求;采用多元Logit模型,解释其影响因素.结果发现:①相比市内职住联系,满足跨市通勤需求的公共交通服务供给整体质量更低、绕行更多且更依赖换乘.②珠三角城市群内,存在不同的公共交通需求-供给关系类型,反映了多种潜在服务需求;既有跨越边界的,也有分布在市内的.③制度壁垒和开发强度限制分别从供给侧和需求侧影响需求-供给关系类型的形成.相应结果可以为理解和协调区域交通服务供给提供参考.

Abstract

In an era of integrated regional development,the quantity of multi-city travel is increasing,which demands for high-quality public transit services.Taking China's Pearl River Delta as a case,we analyze the jobs-housing relationship and public transit services with the location-based big data and multimodal public transit service model.Specifically,we quantify and geo-visualize the patterns of the jobs-housing relationship and transit services,identify the demand-supply relationship and potential demand for public transit service using the K-means clustering method,and analyze the causal factors using a multi-nominal logit model.We reach the following conclusions.First,transit services for inter-city commuting trips are of lower quality compared to their intra-city counterpart.Second,the demand-supply relationship can be grouped into a few clusters.Third,institutional barriers and development intensity produced significant but varying impacts,from either the supply or demand side,on the quality of public transit services.Inter-city collaboration and innovative transit solutions can advance the supply of regionalized transit services.Our research can help government officials,urban planners,and transit operators better solve the problems of transit services from a regional perspective.

关键词

交通服务评价/职住空间联系/珠江三角洲城市群/区域一体化

Key words

transit service evaluation/jobs-housing relationship/Pearl River Delta of China/regional integration

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出版年

2024
地理研究
中国科学院地理科学与资源研究所

地理研究

CSTPCDCSSCICSCDCHSSCD北大核心
影响因子:2.214
ISSN:1000-0585
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