首页|20世纪70年代以来域外国家介入南海问题研究:发展演变与未来趋势

20世纪70年代以来域外国家介入南海问题研究:发展演变与未来趋势

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域外各国对当代南海问题的关注和研究始于20世纪70年代,至今大致经历了《南海各方行为宣言》(DOC)达成前的早期阶段、DOC达成至"南海仲裁案"之间的阶段和中美竞争加剧后的新发展时期这3个阶段.在早期阶段,域外大国学界和智库虽然也对南海问题有不同的观点,但其立场和态度总体上是对中国有利的.第二阶段后期特别是中美竞争加剧后,其研究成果体现的对待南海问题的立场和态度逐渐多元化,研究方法也日益多元化,研究领域逐渐由传统领域向非传统领域扩展.与此同时,相关研究中对中国不利的结论和声音逐渐增多,这使得中国在国际舆论斗争和南海维权斗争中面临着更为严峻的挑战.上述变化受到各国研究人员代际更替、国际海洋法新发展和国际格局变迁的多重影响,但根本原因则是国际格局变迁及相关国家对本国利益的自我选择.中国应充分认识到国际规则和国际法的工具性作用,以平和的心态看待域外各国在南海问题各领域研究取向的变化,坚决反对歪曲或有选择地援引国际法来"抹黑"中国的行为;同时又要保持战略自信和战略耐心,努力加强和深化对国际法、国际政治和历史等不同学科交叉互融的研究,提高阐释运用国际法的能力,援引恰当的条款来维护中国的正当海洋权益.
Research on the South China Sea Issue in Extraterritorial Powers Since 1970s:Evolution and Future Trends
The Extraterritorial powers began their's research on contemporary South China Sea issues in the 1970s,and it has gone through three stages:the early stage before the conclusion of the Declaration on the Conduct of Parties in the South China Sea(DOC),the stage between the conclusion of the DOC and the South China Sea Arbitration,and the new development period after the intensification of Sino-US strategic competition.In the early stage,although the academic circles and think tanks of Ex-traterritorial powers had different views on the South China Sea issue,on the whole,their positions and attitudes were favorable to China,and in the late second stage,especially after the intensification of Sino-US strategic competition,positions and attitudes to-wards the South China Sea issue reflected in their research results are gradually diversified,their research methods were increas-ingly diversified,and their research fields gradually expanded from traditional fields to non-traditional fields.At the same time,the number of conclusions and voices unfavorable to China in relevant research has gradually increased,which has made China face more severe challenges in the struggle forinternational public opinion and the defense of its sovereignty in the South China Sea.The above-mentioned changes are affected by the intergenerational change of researchers in various countries,the development of the international maritime law and the changesin the international landscape,etc.,but the fundamental reason is the changesin the international landscape and the self-selection of national interests.China should be fully aware of the instrumental role of inter-national rules and international law,view with a peaceful mindset the changes in research orientations of other countries outside the region on the South China Sea issue and firmly oppose the distortion or selective citation of international law to smear China.In addition,it is necessary for China to maintain strategic self-confidence and strategic patience,strengthen and deepen the studyof the intersection of different disciplines such as international law,international politics and history,improve the ability to in-terpret and apply international laws,and invoke appropriate provisions to safeguard China's legitimate maritime rights and inter-ests.

South China Sea issueextraterritorial powersmaritime rights and interestsU.S.-China strategic competitioninternational maritime law

赵卫华

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复旦大学国际问题研究院

复旦大学中国周边研究中心,上海,200433

南海问题 域外大国 海洋权益 中美竞争 国际海洋法

国家社会科学基金重点项目

17AGJ006

2024

东南亚纵横
广西社会科学院东南亚研究所 广西东南亚经济与政治研究中心

东南亚纵横

CHSSCD
影响因子:0.695
ISSN:1003-2479
年,卷(期):2024.(2)
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