首页|间断与均衡:越南革新开放以来海外越南人政策变迁的历史逻辑

间断与均衡:越南革新开放以来海外越南人政策变迁的历史逻辑

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海外越南人是越南促进国家发展的重要外部资源.自革新开放以来,越南高度重视开展海外越南人工作,出台多项优惠政策,鼓励海外越南人参与国家建设.目前,海外越南人工作已经迈入全面而强有力的实施阶段,政策的修订和实施成为越南社会的一个热点议题.文章以越南海外越南人政策为研究对象,通过对越南自1986年至今历次颁布修订的270份相关政策文件进行深入分析,厘清其变迁轨迹及背后的内在逻辑,并借助公共政策分析中的间断均衡理论深入挖掘其变迁背后的内、外部因素和具有显著影响力的潜在力量,旨在为理解公共政策制定的复杂性和动态性提供新的视角.研究结果发现:1986-2023年越南海外越南人政策变迁总体呈现"均衡—间断—再均衡"特征,经历了政策的探索期(1986-2003年)、形成期(2004-2014年)、发展期(2015-2020年)和调整期(2021-2023年).其中,政策总目标的变化、决策层注意力分配、焦点事件的出现是影响越南海外越南人政策关键性变化的重要因素.同时,越南海外越南人政策的焦点主要集中于推动社群经济合作与回国投资、增强民族凝聚力和向心力以及侨务政策法制化和机构建设等方面.
Punctuated Equilibrium:Historical Logic of Overseas Vietnamese Policy ChangesSince Vietnam's Renovation and Opening-up
Overseas Vietnamese are an important external resource for promoting Vietnam's national development.Since the renovation and opening-up,Vietnam has attached great importance to the work of overseas Vietnamese,issuing a series of prefer-ential policies to encourage the participation of overseas Vietnamese in national construction.As the work entered a comprehen-sive and powerful implementation stage,the revision and implementation of policies have become a hot topic in Vietnamese soci-ety.Focusing on the policies towards overseas Vietnamese,this study conducts a deep analysis of 270 relevant policy documents issued by Vietnam since 1986 to clarify the trajectory of policy changes and their underlying logic,and utilizes the theory of"punctuated equilibrium"in public policy analysis to explore the internal and external factors and influential forces behind the changes in order to provide a new perspective to underst and the complexity and dynamics of public policy-making.The research findings indicate that from 1986 to 2023,the changes in Vietnam's policies towards overseas Vietnamese show a pattern of"equilibrium-punctuated equilibrium-rebalancing",experiencing an exploratory period(1986-2003),a formative period(2004-2014),a development period(2015-2020)and an adjustment period(2021-2023).The changes in the overall policy objectives,al-location of attention of decision-makers and the occurrence of focal events are important factors in the changes of Vietnam's poli-cies towards its diaspora.And the focus is mainly on fostering economic cooperation and return investment,enhancing national cohesion and centripetal force,and legalizing and institutionalizing overseas Vietnamese affairs policies.

overseas Vietnamesepolicy evolutionpunctuated equilibriumhistorical logic

滕成达、董洁、赵子龙

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广西民族大学东盟学院/中国—东盟区域国别研究院,广西南宁53006

辽宁大学中国开放经济研究院

辽宁大学国家对外话语体系研究中心,辽宁沈阳110100

海外越南人 政策变迁 间断均衡 历史逻辑

2024

东南亚纵横
广西社会科学院东南亚研究所 广西东南亚经济与政治研究中心

东南亚纵横

CHSSCD
影响因子:0.695
ISSN:1003-2479
年,卷(期):2024.(5)