首页|中泰产业链融合:演进态势、驱动机制与推进策略

中泰产业链融合:演进态势、驱动机制与推进策略

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当前,全球产业链供应链脆弱性犹存且重构步伐未停,在新时期如何重塑稳健的产业链成为世界各国共同面临的重大考验.在部分国家以安全化、内向化、单边化为导向重塑产业链的背景下,作为全球产业链稳定畅通的坚定支持者和维护者,中国与泰国则积极推动两国产业链的进一步融合.当前,中泰产业链融合在电动汽车和数字经济等新兴产业表现最为突出,在电子制造业中总体保持活力,在纺织服装等传统产业的表现则有起有落.近年来,中泰产业链融合的主要特征包括以中国对泰国直接投资为依托、与创新链资金链的融合相辅相成、对东亚地区产业链的嵌入程度高等.中泰产业结构与比较优势互补性大,在电动汽车和数字经济等产业发展上的特有优势是两国产业链融合的重要基石,大国技术和产业竞争的持续激化,世界经济的绿色化、数字化和区域化转向等则是中泰产业链融合的时代动因.未来,中泰产业链融合的机遇主要体现在两国政府对相关产业的发展及产业合作给予更大力度的支持,中泰关系在可预见的一段时间内将维持较为稳定友好的状态,为两国的产业链融合创造和谐有利的外交环境和政治保障.而地缘政治风险犹存,以及日本等第三方国家的干扰或影响则是未来中泰产业链融合所面临的主要挑战.对此,中国可以通过持续增进与泰国的政治互信、强化产业链安全的理念协调与实践合作、切实降低两国之间的贸易和投资壁垒、强化第三方市场合作以缓解产业竞争问题,进一步完善和用好区域经济合作平台等策略来推进中泰产业链的持续融合.
Industrial Chain Integration Between China and Thailand:Trends,Drivers and Promotion Strategies
Global industrial supply chains remain fragile and continue to be reconstructed at the current stage.How to re-shape stable industrial chains in the new era has become a major test for various countries.While some countries are reshaping their industrial chains with the orientation of securitization,internalization and unilateralism,China and Thailand,staunch support-ers and defenders of the smooth global industrial chains,are actively promoting the integration of the industrial chains between the two countries.With regard to the present Sino-Thai industrial chain integration,emerging industries such as electric vehicles and the digital economy demonstrate the most prominent performance and the electronic manufacturing industry remains active while there are ups and downs in traditional industries like textiles and clothing.The chain integration relies on China's direct in-vestment in Thailand,complements the integration of innovation and capital chains,and has a high degree of integration into the industrial chain in East Asia.The complementary industrial structures and comparative advantages between China and Thailand and their unique advantages in the development of electric vehicles and digital economy are the important cornerstones of their in-dustrial chain integration.Continuous intensification of technology and industry competition between big powers,and the trends toward a green,digital and regional economy around the world are the main motivations.The future opportunities of China-Thailand industrial chain integration mainly lie in the greater support to the industrial development and cooperation from both governments.The Sino-Thai relations will remain relatively stable and friendly in a foreseeable period of time,which will create a harmonious and favorable diplomatic environment and political guarantee for industrial integration.However,geopolitical risks still exist,and the interference or influence of other countries such as Japan are the main challenge in the future.In this regard,the China-Thailand industrial chain integration can be promoted by enhancing mutual political trust continuously,strengthening conceptual coordination and practical cooperation on industrial chain security,removing trade and investment barriers between the two countries more effectively,promoting the third-party market cooperation to alleviate industrial competitionand further im-proving and making good use of regional economic cooperation platforms.

transnational industrial chainsSino-Thailand cooperationelectric vehicle industrydigital economy

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中国社会科学院世界经济与政治研究所,北京100732

跨国产业链 中泰合作 电动汽车产业 数字经济

2024

东南亚纵横
广西社会科学院东南亚研究所 广西东南亚经济与政治研究中心

东南亚纵横

CHSSCD
影响因子:0.695
ISSN:1003-2479
年,卷(期):2024.(5)