首页|考虑地层变异和趋势非线性的海床波速结构非平稳随机场模拟方法

考虑地层变异和趋势非线性的海床波速结构非平稳随机场模拟方法

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地层及其剪切波速(Vs)结构的空间变异性对场地地震反应有显著影响.基于渤海湾海床钻孔资料,采用与耦合马尔可夫链相比对随机地层模拟范围更广、对地层界限模拟效果更光滑的嵌入式马尔可夫链模型模拟钻孔深度A以浅地层的变异性,模拟结果具有较高的精度.采用点估计法给出了以幂函数和线性函数描述海床Vs随h变化的趋势时相应Vs的均值和标准差随A的变化.基于实测钻孔的Vs剖面,采用非平稳条件随机场模拟随机Vs-结构的空间变异性.发现考虑地层的变异性以及忽略Vs沿A变化的非线性趋势均显著增大随机Vs-结构模拟结果的标准差.采用隶属函数和模糊马尔可夫链模型,建立海域钻孔深度外延的未知地层和近岸陆地相应深度已知地层的相关性和转移概率,给出了钻孔深度以深的海床随机地层及其Vs-结构的可能空间分布.为开展海洋工程场地地震反应分析提供了合理的随机地层和Vs-结构资料.
Non-Stationary Random Field Simulation Method of Seabed Site Shear Wave Velocity Structures Considering Stratigraphy Variation and Nonlinear Trend
The spatial variabilities of stratigraphy and S-wave velocity(Vs)structures have significant influence on the results of seismic site response analyses.Based on the borehole data of the seabed of Bohai Bay,the embedded Markov chain model,which has a wider simulation range for random stratigraphy and smoother simulation effect for stratigraphic boundary than the coupled Markov chain,is used to simulate the variabilities of random stratigraphy with depth less than the borehole bottoms,and the simulation results have higher precision.The point estimation method is used to give the change of the means and standard deviations of Vs with h of the seabed when describing the variation trend of Vs with h by power function and linear function.Based on the measured Vs-profiles at the boreholes,the spatial variabilities of random Vs-structures are simulated by using the non-stationary conditional random field method.It is found that considering the spatial variabilities of the random stratigraphy and ignoring the nonlinear variation of Vs along h can significantly increase the standard deviations of the simulated random Vs-structures.The correlations and transfer probabilities between the unknown stratigraphy below the seabed borehole bottoms and the known stratigraphy at the same depth of near-shore land are established using the membership function and fuzzy Markov chain model,the possible spatial variabilities of random seabed stratigraphy and Vs-structures below the borehole bottoms are obtained.It provides reasonable random stratigraphy and Vs-structures for seismic response analysis of offshore engineering site.

seabed siteS-wave velocity structurespatial variabilitynon-stationary random fieldnonlinear trendearthquakesengineering geology

张岩、陈国兴、赵凯、方怡、彭艳菊

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南京工业大学岩土工程研究所,江苏南京 210009

江苏省土木工程防震技术研究中心,江苏南京 210009

国家自然灾害防治研究院,北京 100085

海床场地 剪切波速结构 空间变异性 非平稳随机场 趋势非线性 地震 工程地质

2024

地球科学
中国地质大学

地球科学

CSTPCD北大核心
影响因子:1.447
ISSN:1000-2383
年,卷(期):2024.49(11)