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结合Kaplan-Meier法与Bootstrap法处理膳食暴露评估中的未检出值

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目的:探讨应用Kaplan-Meier方法与bootstrap方法相结合处理膳食暴露评估中多个检出限存在时的未检出值数据.方法:以大米中的镉残留数据为例,应用Kaplan-Meier方法对数据拟合累积概率分布曲线,并且应用bootstrap方法估计残留值的均数和中位数的标准误以及累积概率的区间.结果:Kaplan-Meier方法处理多个检出限存在时的未检出值简单,便于计算机实现,Bootstrap估计的区间与近似估计区间一致性好.结论:对环境暴露评估中包含未检出值的左截尾数据的处理,结合bootstrap区间估计的Kaplan-Meier方法是值得推荐的有效方法.
Dealing with non-detects for dietary exposure assessment using KaplanMeier methods and Bootstrap
AIM:To combine Kaplan-meier method and Bootstrap estimation in dealing with the left-censored data for exposure assessment.METHODS:The cumulative probability distribution for the cadmium residue concentration in rice was fitted by Kaplan-Meier method,basing on which standard errors and interval estimates of mean,median et al.were gained by bootstrap method.RESULTS:The Kaplan-Meier method can be used simply and conveniently by software.The intervals estimated by bootstrap were consistent with those by approximate method.CONCLUSION:Kaplan-Meier method combined with bootstrap is efficient method worth to recommend in dealing with data including left-censored values.

non-detectsmuhiple-limitsKaplan-Meier methodbootstrapcadmium

余小金、张宏、陈炳为、闵捷、陈启光、刘沛

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东南大学公共卫生学院,江苏,南京,210009

未检出值 多检出限 Kaplan-Meier方法 bootstrap 镉残留

国家科技支撑计划重大项目江苏省卫生厅预防医学科研基金

2006BAK02A01Y200702

2009

第四军医大学学报
第四军医大学

第四军医大学学报

CSTPCDCSCD北大核心
影响因子:0.599
ISSN:1000-2790
年,卷(期):2009.30(21)
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