GLOBAL WARMING EXACERBATES FOREST FIRES IN XINJIANG
The limited expanse of forest resources in Xinjiang plays a pivotal role in delivering essential ecological services.Forest fires,acting as a significant perturbing agent within this ecosystem,are intricately entwined with the ongoing phenomenon of global warming.Unraveling the impact of global warming on forest fires in Xinjiang and discerning the intricate relationship between these phenomena assumes paramount importance in safeguarding the region's forest resources and ecological balance.This study meticulously selected forest fire and climate datasets spanning from 1988 to 2020 in the Xinjiang Uygur Autonomous Region.Employing a battery of analytical tools encompassing the Mann-Kendall(M-K)test,anomaly analysis,percentage anomaly method and correlation analysis,the investigation delved into the nexus between climate patterns and forest fires.The findings herein proffer compelling evidence of an unequivocal climate shift towards heightened warmth across Xinjiang's forest-clad domains.Furthermore,it emerges that the growing season and summertime temperatures exert synchronous influences on forest fire occurrences within the same annum.Equally noteworthy,variations in April precipitation and June temperatures wield a salient influence over fire events in the subsequent year.This phenomenon can be attributed to alterations in fuel conditions,encompassing changes in fuel humidity and accumulation quantities resulting from climate shifts.Notably,these insights serve as a pivotal reference point for enhancing forest fire preparedness and warning systems in Xinjiang amidst the inexorable march of global warming.