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四川泸定Ms 6.8地震断层运动模拟与反演研究

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鲜水河断裂南东段、龙门山后山断裂南西段与安宁河断裂构成了青藏高原东南缘典型的"Y"字型断裂构造体系,强烈的构造活动使得该构造体系影响范围地震活动频发,尤其是位于"Y"字型的交汇处的泸定县磨西镇周边多次发生Ms6.0以上的中强震.2022年9月5日发生的泸定Ms6.8地震震中位于鲜水河断裂南东段磨西镇就是强震活动的最新体现,此次地震造成了百人以上的人员伤亡,是近年来青藏高原东南缘受关注度最高的一次地震.但是该区域地质构造极为复杂,传统的地质研究方法难以快速、有效地分析地震断层运动及应力变化等问题.本研究利用有限元接触面Interface方法数值模拟发震时主断裂运动特征,反演分析了该地震前、后区域位移矢量场以及库伦应力场的变化.数值模拟结果表明,在模型左侧边界施加南东向的侧向力、在上边界的北西角施加正南向的侧向力,且固定扬子块体情况下,对川滇块体底部施加左旋作用、川青块体底部施加右旋作用时,得到的数值拟合度高.地震前磨西镇同时存在张、压应力,其中位于鲜水河断裂南东段上的燕子沟、磨西镇及新民乡有应力集中现象;发震时主震发生在地表以下13 km左右深度,最大滑动位移在燕子沟-磨西镇段,存在1.5~2.0m的同震剪切左行滑移;地震前、后实测位移点矢量方向变化,是受破碎点靠拢效应和震后地块物理回弹变形的影响.地震后川滇块体的剪切应变增量(平均为10×10-5)高于扬子块体(平均为5×10-5),表明川滇块体在区域块体运动中依然发挥主导作用,主断裂带上的剪切应力朝南东向传递趋势明显.本研究为认识青藏高原东南缘的地壳变形特征提供新的材料,对该地区的强震孕育发生机制、地震危险性分析及经济建设提供一定的科学依据和实用价值.
SIMULATION AND INVERSION OF THE LUDING Ms6.8 EARTHQUAKE FAULT MOVEMENT IN SICHUAN
The southern-eastern segment of the Xianshui River Fault,the southwestern segment of the Longmenshan Houshan Fault,and the Anning River Fault together constitute a typical"Y"-shaped tectonic structure on the southeastern margin of the Qinghai-Xizang Plateau.The intense tectonic activity within this structural system leads to frequent seismic events in the affected area(29°00′~30°00′N,101° 30′~103°00′E),particularly in the vicinity of Moxi Town,Luding County,located at the intersection of the"Y"shape,where several moderate to strong earthquakes with magnitudes above Ms6.0 have occurred.The recent Moxi Ms6.8 earthquake on September 5,2022,which took place along the southern-eastern segment of the Xianshui River Fault in Moxi Town,represents the latest manifestation of strong seismic activity.This earthquake resulted in over a hundred casualties and has garnered significant attention as one of the most notable earthquakes in the southeastern margin of the Qinghai-Xizang Plateau in recent years.However,the geological structure in this region is highly complex,and traditional geological research methods face challenges in rapidly and effectively analyzing seismic fault movements and stress changes.In this study,we employed the finite element contact interface method to numerically simulate the main fault movement during seismic events,and conducted inversion analysis of the displacement vector field and Coulomb stress changes in the pre-and post-seismic regions.The numerical simulation results indicate that by applying a southeastward lateral force to the left boundary of the model and a southward lateral force to the northwestern corner of the upper boundary,while keeping the Yangtze block fixed,a high degree of numerical convergence is achieved when imposing counterclockwise rotation on the lower crust of the Sichuan-Yunnan block and clockwise rotation on the lower crust of the Sichuan-Qinghai block.Prior to the earthquake,Moxi Town experienced both tensile and compressive stresses,with stress concentration observed in Yanzi Gou,Moxi Town,and Xinmin Township,located along the southern-eastern segment of the Xianshui River Fault.The main earthquake occurred at a depth of approximately 13 km below the surface,with the maximum slip displacement observed in the Yanzi Gou-Moxi Town segment,exhibiting a left-lateral slip of 1.5~2.0 m during the seismic event.The observed vector direction of displacement points changed pre-and post-earthquake,influenced by the effect of fracture convergence and post-seismic physical rebound deformation of the blocks.The post-seismic shear strain increment of the Sichuan-Yunnan block(averaging 10x10-5)was higher than that of the Yangtze block(averaging 5 × 10-5),indicating that the Sichuan-Yunnan block still plays a dominant role in regional block movements,and there is a clear southeastward transfer trend of shear stress along the main fault zone.This study provides new insights into the crustal deformation characteristics of the southeastern margin of the Qinghai-Xizang Plateau,offering valuable scientific and practical information for understanding the mechanisms of strong earthquake generation,seismic hazard analysis,and economic development in the region.

the Luding Ms6.8 earthquakeseismic motion characteristicsdisplacement vectorCoulomb stress field

徐正、李勇、杨欣、赵少泽、谢成晟、赵亮、易桂喜

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成都理工大学地球科学学院,四川成都 610059

成都理工大学油气藏地质及开发工程国家重点实验室,四川成都 610059

四川省地震局,四川成都 610041

泸定Ms6.8地震 发震运动特征 位移矢量场 库伦应力场

国家自然科学基金项目国家自然科学基金项目四川省科技计划项目

42202132423420272022NSFSC0228

2024

第四纪研究
中国科学院地质与地球物理研究所 中国第四纪研究委员会

第四纪研究

CSTPCD北大核心
影响因子:2.939
ISSN:1001-7410
年,卷(期):2024.44(2)
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