首页|全新世东亚夏季风降水穿时性的模拟研究

全新世东亚夏季风降水穿时性的模拟研究

扫码查看
全新世期间东亚夏季风经历了较为复杂的演变过程,针对其降水的时空变化规律还存在争议.本研究利用TraCE-21 ka气候瞬变模拟的全强迫试验和敏感性试验数据,分析了全新世东亚不同区域降水极大值出现的时间,即东亚季风降水的"穿时性"问题,并就降水量的演变趋势和主要影响因子进行了分析.结果表明,全强迫试验中,全新世期间东亚夏季风总降水和净降水极大值最早在北方出现,然后逐渐南移,直到近代出现在南方及沿海地区,这与全新世期间东亚夏季风强度逐渐减弱相符;利用水汽收支方程对全新世东亚夏季风总降水变化进行分解,北方地区降水变化主要受动力因子的控制,热力因子的贡献占比较小,随着地区的南移,热力因子也起到了一定的贡献,不过动力因子仍是主导因素;敏感性试验进一步揭示,全强迫试验中东亚季风降水的这种"穿时性"主要受到地球轨道变化导致的海陆热力差异变化调控.
SIMULATION OF THE TIME-TRANSGRESSIVE NATURE OF EAST ASIAN SUMMER MONSOON PRECIPITATION OVER THE HOLOCENE
East Asian Summer monsoon(EASM),an integral part of the global monsoon circulation system,plays a pivotal role in maintaining regional and global water vapor,heat and momentum transport.Geological records and numerical models have provided insights into the intricate evolution of the EASM during the Holocene.However,it is worth emphasizing that these studies exhibited considerable discrepancies,particularly concerning the"time-transgressive"feature of Holocene EASM precipitation,i.e.,whether the precipitation maxima occurred synchronously across East Asia.By combining reconstruction and simulation approaches,we can gain a profound understanding of the characteristics of paleoclimate change in East Asia.This not only contributes to unraveling the mechanisms governing the East Asian monsoon under natural conditions,but also offers valuable insights into the impact of human activities on climate.In this study,based on a set of full-forcing and single-forcing experiments of Transient Climate Evolution simulations over the last 21000 years(TraCE-21 ka),we investigated the timing of summer precipitation maxima during the Holocene for the regions selected from Northern China(42°N,125°E),Jianghuai Region(30°N,120°E)and Southern China(22°N,115°E).In the full-forcing simulation,the timing of the EASM precipitation maxima and net precipitation maxima during the Holocene initially manifested in North China in the Early Holocene and gradually shifted southwards,eventually reaching South China in the Late Holocene,which aligned with the gradual weakening of the EASM during the Holocene.This receding trend is also confirmed by the East Asian summer monsoon index(EASMI),defined by regional averaged 850 hPa meridional wind between 25° and 40° N,105° and 120° E from June to August.These simulated results are supported by proxy data in Eastern China.For instance,the weakening of precipitation during the Holocene is evident in the lake level records of Northern China.Additionally,the pollen records in southern China suggested a gradual warming and wetter climate.Sensitive experiments further revealed that such EASM evolution was primarily driven by the land-sea thermal contrast variations(refer to the temperature and sea level pressure between the East Asian(20°~60° N,80°~120° E)and the Pacific Ocean(20°~60°N,150°~210°E)),which,in turn,was linked to the reduced boreal summer insolation controlled by changes in Earth's orbital parameters.Furthermore,we employed a simplified moisture budget equation to access the relative contributions of the dynamics(e.g.,the circulation changes)and thermodynamic(e.g.,humidity changes)components to the Holocene EASM precipitation variation.The results indicated that the precipitation changes in northern East Asia were mainly controlled by the dynamical components throughout the Holocene,with the thermodynamic component making a negative contribution in the Early Holocene,and almost negligible impact in the Late Holocene.In Southern China,the dynamical component remained dominant,and the thermodynamic component played a certain contribution.

HoloceneEast Asian summer monsoon precipitation"time-transgressive"nature

程曦、施健、程军、曹剑

展开 >

南京信息工程大学气象灾害预报预警与评估协同创新中心,江苏南京 210044

南京信息工程大学大气科学学院,江苏南京 210044

全新世 东亚夏季风降水 穿时性

国家自然科学基金项目国家自然科学基金项目

4210504642088101

2024

第四纪研究
中国科学院地质与地球物理研究所 中国第四纪研究委员会

第四纪研究

CSTPCD北大核心
影响因子:2.939
ISSN:1001-7410
年,卷(期):2024.44(2)
  • 46