首页|极端气候模型与气象数据分析——以苏州为例

极端气候模型与气象数据分析——以苏州为例

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极端气候导致的自然灾害给人类带来巨大损失.通过数学模型和数据分析给出极端气候的成因和影响,以苏州地区为例,利用 MATLAB编程,结合 M-K 突变检测和 BFAST算法研究极端气候变化.通过建立均温时间序列模型对未来五年苏州地区年平均温度进行预测,得出未来五年苏州地区年平均温度持续升高的结论.
Extreme Climate Model and Meteorological Data Analysis
Natural disasters caused by extreme climate have brought great losses to human beings.This paper presents the causes and effects of extreme climate through mathematical model and data analysis.Taking the climate of Suzhou region as an example,we use MATLAB programming and combine M-K mutation detection and BFAST algorithm to study the possibility of the extreme climate change in Suzhou area.By establishing the average temperature time series model to predict the annual average annual temperature in Suzhou in the next five years,we conclude that the annual average temperature in Suzhou will increase continuously in the next five years.

big dataextreme climateM-K mutation detectionBFAST algorithm

王思佳、翟子淇、王丽、徐常青

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苏州科技大学 数学科学学院,江苏 苏州 215009

大数据 极端气候 M-K突变检测 BFAST算法

2024

大学数学
教育部数学与统计学教学指导委员会,高等教育出版社,合肥工业大学

大学数学

影响因子:0.304
ISSN:1672-1454
年,卷(期):2024.40(4)
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