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中国台湾Ms≥5.5地震前后汕头气汞远场异常特征

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通过对2020年5月至2022年12月汕头气汞测值的分析,总结中国台湾地区Ms ≥ 5.5地震前后汕头气汞远场异常特征.结果表明:在研究时段,台湾共发生Ms≥5.5地震19次,主要集中在花莲、台东和宜兰3个地区;在这些地震前后,汕头气汞整点值曲线均出现明显的异常变化,且3个地区震前异常特征各不相同,而同一地区异常形态具有较好的重复性.采用R值评估方法,检验研究时段内汕头气汞日均值对台湾地区Ms≥5.5地震的预测效能,结果发现,当气汞异常阈值取0.066 ng/L、0.067 ng/L、0.068 ng/L,预报时间为 5-9 天时,R>Ro,表明汕头气汞对台湾地区Ms≥5.5地震具有短临预测意义.
Far-field anomaly characteristics of mercury vapor observations in Shantou before and after the Ms ≥ 5.5 earthquakes in Taiwan,China
Based on the analysis of mercury vapor observations in Shantou from May 2020 to December 2022,the far-field anomaly characteristics before and after Ms ≥ 5.5 earthquakes in Taiwan were studied.The results show that:during the period,there were 19 Ms ≥ 5.5 earthquakes mainly concentrated in three areas:Hualian,Taidong,and Yilan.Before and after these earthquakes there were many obvious abnormal changes in the hourly value observations of mercury vapor in Shantou.The anomaly characteristics differed for earthquakes in different concentration areas,while the anomaly shapes in the same region had good repeatability.The R-value assessment method was used to test the prediction efficiency of the daily mean on Ms ≥ 5.5 earthquakes in Taiwan during the study period.The results found that when the mercury vapor anomaly threshold is 0.066 ng/L,0.067 ng/L,0.068 ng/L,the forecast time is 5-9 days,R>Ro,indicating that the Shantou mercury vapor has short-period prediction significance for Ms≥5.5 earthquakes in Taiwan.

earthquakes in Taiwan,Chinamercury vapor survey in Shantouanomaly characteristicsinspection of earthquake-prediction efficiencyshort-period prediction significance

张惠霞、薛艳、张伟浩、姜祥华、邓志辉

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中国广东 515041 汕头市地震局

中国北京 100045 中国地震台网中心

中国广州 510070 广东省地震局

中国台湾地震 汕头气汞 远场异常特征 预测效能检验 短临预测意义

2024

地震地磁观测与研究
中国地震台网中心 中国地震局地球物理研究所 中国地震学会地震观测技术专业委员会

地震地磁观测与研究

影响因子:0.248
ISSN:1003-3246
年,卷(期):2024.45(5)