首页|2022年11月19日红河MS 5.0地震前石屏水平摆倾斜仪数据异常及预报效能回溯分析

2022年11月19日红河MS 5.0地震前石屏水平摆倾斜仪数据异常及预报效能回溯分析

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2022 年 11 月 19 日红河发生MS 5.0 地震,采用形态分析和速率差分方法,对石屏站水平摆倾斜仪震前数据进行处理,分析结果显示:此次地震发生前,石屏水平摆测项中长期异常显著,主要表现为年变幅度减小、趋势加速下降、速率差分跃变等异常特征.通过地震预报效能回溯分析,该异常与石屏站周边中强震存在较好的相关性,表明石屏水平摆测项映震效果较好.该异常指标对于地震发生时间尺度的预测偏向于中长期.
Data anomalies and prediction efficiency of Shiping horizontal pendulum tiltmeter before the Honghe MS 5.0 earthquake on November 19,2022
Honghe MS 5.0 earthquake occurred on November 19,2022.Morphological analysis and rate difference were used to process the pre-earthquake data of the horizontal pendulum tiltmeter of Shiping Station..The results show that before the Honghe MS 5.0 earthquake,the horizontal pendulum tiltmeter of Shiping has obvious medium and long-term anomalies,which mainly show the abnormal characteristics of decreasing annual variation amplitude,accelerating trend decline and rate difference jump.Through the backtracking analysis of prediction efficiency,the anomalies of Shiping horizontal pendulum tiltmeter have a good correlation with the surrounding moderate and strong earthquakes,the prediction of the time scale of earthquake occurrence by this anomaly index tends to be medium and long term.In general,Shiping horizontal pendulum tiltmeter shows a good seismic mapping effect.

horizontal pendulum tiltmeterHonghe MS 5.0 earthquakemorphological methodrate difference methodprediction efficiency

曾宁、李利波、何应文、白仙富、刘昌伟、杨祺

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中国昆明 650224 云南省地震局

水平摆 红河MS 5.0地震 形态法 速率差分法 预报效能

2024

地震地磁观测与研究
中国地震台网中心 中国地震局地球物理研究所 中国地震学会地震观测技术专业委员会

地震地磁观测与研究

影响因子:0.248
ISSN:1003-3246
年,卷(期):2024.45(6)