From Hedging to Taking Sides:Ukraine's Strategic Direction and the Russia-Ukraine Conflict Dilemma
Since coming to power,the Zelensky government has continued the"one-sided"pro-Western diplomatic strategy of the Poroshenko era,continued to promote political and economic integration with the European Union,strengthened security cooperation with NATO led by the United States,and continued to engage in confrontation with Russia.To this end,Zelensky used a combination of diplomatic methods and tactics to strengthen relations with the West,paying great attention to public diplomacy,taking the initiative to enhance interaction and communication with the Western community,and frequently speaking out in international organizations,traditional media and social media platforms on the Internet to win the support of the Western community for Ukraine.While Zelensky's pro-Western diplomacy has secured a great deal of aid for Ukraine,it has also brought about a series of negative outcomes for the country.First,Zelensky's diplomacy in seeking an alliance with the West broke the geopolitical parity between Russia and the West in Ukraine,leading to an escalation of geopolitical rivalry into a serious geopolitical crisis.Zelensky's accelerated push for Ukraine's accession to NATO and the European Union increased Russia's insecurity and prompted Putin's early showdown with the West,which in turn led to preventive action.Second,the impact of pro-Western diplomacy has certain limitations:the West is not in a formal alliance with Ukraine,and to avoid drawing fire,it has chosen not to intervene directly in the crisis and has provided only limited assistance.The limited support of the West could not meet Ukraine's needs to win the war,resulting in the conflict turning into a protracted and attritional war,and Ukraine's losses in terms of people and property continued to expand.In the meantime,the"one-sided"pro-Western diplomacy has weakened the autonomy of Ukrainian diplomacy and made the diplomatic negotiations more challenging.The peace talks between Russia and Ukraine have reached an impasse due to U.S.-Western constraints,resulting in a deep geopolitical crisis that Ukraine cannot extricate itself from.