首页|三角关系中行为体的策略分析——以魏晋南北朝时期为例

三角关系中行为体的策略分析——以魏晋南北朝时期为例

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中国古代魏晋南北朝时期曾多次出现三国鼎立格局.与当代国际体系下的三角关系不同,它是一种在封闭环境中你死我活的博弈.每个行为体的最终目的是消灭另外两方,统一天下.根据强弱对比的不同,可以将这种三角关系分为三方均衡、一强两弱、一弱两强的三种格局.行为体在不同格局中有不同的最优策略.本文选择了魏晋南北朝时期的魏蜀吴、前秦前燕东晋、陈北周北齐三个案例,以过程追踪的方式验证了假设,总结了行为体在不同三角关系格局中争取利益最大化的策略.
During the Wei,Jin and Northern and Southern Dynasties of China,the Three Kingdoms pat-tern appeared many times,forming an international pat-tern of triangular relationship.Unlike the triangular re-lationship under the contemporary international system,it is a life-and-death game in a closed environment.The ultimate goal of each actor is to eliminate the other two in order to unify China.If one observes triangular rela-tionship with regard to relative strength,there are three types-the strong actor between two weak actors,the re-lation of approximate equality,and the weak actor be-tween two strong actors.Actors have different strategies in different types.This dissertation then makes process-tracings of three specific cases-Wei-Shu-Wu,Former Qin-Former Yan-Eastern Jin,Chen-Northern Zhou-Northern Qi—to test the five hypotheses,and the results show that these cases support all three hypotheses to a large extent.

WeiJin and Northern and Southern DynastiesTriangular relationshipActor strategy

孙畅驰

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复旦大学国际关系与公共事务学院

魏晋南北朝 三角关系 行为体策略

2024

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ISSN:
年,卷(期):2024.33(1)