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基于VIKOR-耦合协调模型的云浮市水土流失治理评价

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改革开放以来,我国经济社会发展成就斐然,但与此同时,一系列环境问题也随之而来,其中水土流失问题尤为突出。本文以广东省云浮市为例,构建水土流失治理与经济社会发展评价指标体系,采用熵值法计算指标权重,基于VIKOR-耦合协调模型对云浮市2010~2023年水土流失治理与经济社会发展进行了综合评价。结果表明:①2010~2023年云浮市水土流失治理和经济社会发展利益比率系数总体上呈现波动递减趋势,其中2010和2012年云浮市水土流失较为严重,经济社会的高速发展一定程度上会减缓水土流失治理速度;②2010~2023年云浮市水土流失治理与经济社会发展耦合协调指数处于持续上升的状态,协调度依次经历了中度失调、轻度失调、濒临协调、勉强协调、中级协调、良好协调、优质协调共计7个阶段,从2021年以后云浮市水土流失治理和经济社会发展达到优质协调;③VIKOR模型和耦合协调模型对云浮市水土流失治理评价结论基本一致,两者均表明云浮市水土流失治理和经济社会处于持续协调发展的状态。
Evaluation of Soil and Water Loss Control in Yunfu City Based on VIKOR Coupling Coordination Model
Since the reform and opening up,China has achieved remarkable economic and social development,but at the same time,a series of environmental problems have also emerged,among which soil erosion is particularly prominent.Taking Yunfu City of Guangdong Province as an example,an evaluation index system for soil erosion control and economic and social development was constructed.The entropy method was used to calculate the weight of the indicators,and the VIKOR coupling coordination model was used to comprehensively evaluate the soil erosion control and economic and social development of Yunfu City from 2010 to 2023.The results show that:(1)from 2010 to 2023,the ratio coefficient of soil erosion control and economic and social development benefits in Yunfu City showed an overall fluctuating and decreasing trend.Among which,soil erosion in Yunfu City was more severe in 2010 and 2012,and the high-speed development of the economy and society will to some extent slow down the speed of soil erosion control;(2)From 2010 to 2023,the coupling coordination index between soil erosion control and economic and social development in Yunfu City continued to rise.The coordination degree went through seven stages in sequence:moderate imbalance,mild imbalance,on the verge of coordination,barely coordination,intermediate coordination,good coordination,and high-quality coordination.Since 2021,Yunfu City has achieved high-quality coordination between soil erosion control and economic and social development;(3)The conclusions of the VIKOR model and the coupling coordination model on the evaluation of soil erosion control in Yunfu City are basically consistent,and the research results have certain reference significance for the next step of soil and water conservation work in Yunfu City.

soil erosion controleconomic and social developmentVIKOR modelcoupling coordination model

刘继锋

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广东海纳工程管理咨询有限公司,广东 广州 510000

水土流失治理 经济社会发展 VIKOR模型 耦合协调模型

2024

亚热带水土保持
福建省水土保持委员会 福建省水土保持学会

亚热带水土保持

影响因子:0.38
ISSN:1002-2651
年,卷(期):2024.36(4)