Prospective Analysis of the U.S.'Taiwan Policy in Trump's Second Term
With the increasing strategic competition of the United States against China,new changes will appear in the strategies and techniques of the Taiwan question.Especially in the background of the return of Trump,the American Taiwan policy in his second term will mainly be influenced bythe system level,the U.S.domestic level,the cross-Strait level and the individual level.Specific factors include the prominent structural contradictions between China and the United States,the increasing power of"supporting Taiwan"in the U.S.Congress,the obvious tendency of the DPP administration's"relying on foreign powers to seek independence",and Trump's fickle transactional governance style.Under the combined influence of these factors,Trump's Taiwan-related policies in his second term will be adjusted in four directions:resuming extreme pressure,returning to unilateral intervention,linking them to political and economic issues,and launching a cognitive offensive.The above adjustment direction will produce multiple risks such as intensified security difficulties between China and the United States,multi-point geopolitical issues,and prominent cold confrontation between the two sides of the Taiwan Straits.In this regard,China should maintain its strategic focus,take into account the flexibility and pertinacity of its policy tools,and adopt multiple measures to resolve the"Trump shock"in the situation across the Taiwan Straits,as well as the joint provocation between Trump and Lai Cing-te.
the U.S.-Taiwan relationsTaiwan-relatedpolicyTaiwan questionChina-U.S.relationsTrump
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维普
