长江师范学院学报2024,Vol.40Issue(3) :45-55.DOI:10.19933/j.cnki.ISSN1674-3652.2024.03.006

数字普惠金融背景下信用风险溢价对实际利率的影响——基于多重门槛模型的分析与行为经济学的解释

Impact of Credit Risk Premium on Real Interest Rate in the Context of Digital Inclusive Finance:Based on the Multiple Threshold Model Analysis and the Explanations from the Perspective of Behavioral Economics

黄荣哲
长江师范学院学报2024,Vol.40Issue(3) :45-55.DOI:10.19933/j.cnki.ISSN1674-3652.2024.03.006

数字普惠金融背景下信用风险溢价对实际利率的影响——基于多重门槛模型的分析与行为经济学的解释

Impact of Credit Risk Premium on Real Interest Rate in the Context of Digital Inclusive Finance:Based on the Multiple Threshold Model Analysis and the Explanations from the Perspective of Behavioral Economics

黄荣哲1
扫码查看

作者信息

  • 1. 广西财经学院 金融与保险学院,广西南宁 530003;广西财经学院 广西金融与经济研究院,广西南宁 530003
  • 折叠

摘要

金融市场活动容易受到人们感觉认知的影响.在数字普惠金融快速发展的背景下,数字普惠金融发展状况成为人们在信贷市场上能够动态感知的、越来越重要的信号.根据信号的同时对比与继时对比,人们有可能改变经济决策与行为.研究结果表明:不仅数字普惠金融能够通过信用传导机制及多重门槛效应对实际利率施加显著影响,而且门槛变量表现出显著的时滞效应.在信贷市场上,人们关于数字普惠金融的体验极有可能具备感觉阈限与感觉适应的特征.数字普惠金融发展能减弱利率市场对于信用风险溢价的反应.随着数字普惠金融处于越来越快的发展阶段,人们在面对信用风险时表现得越来越乐观.

Abstract

Financial market activities are vulnerable to people's sensory cognition.In light of the rapid growth of digital in-clusive finance,its development emerges as an increasingly significant indicator perceptible to individuals within the credit mar-ket.According to simultaneous contrast and successive contrast of the signals,people may change their economic decisions and behaviors.Research shows that digital inclusive finance casts significant influences on the real interest rate via credit transmis-sion mechanism and multiple threshold effect,and the threshold variables show a significant time-lag effect.In the credit mar-ket,individuals'engagement with digital inclusive finance often mirrors the principles of sensory threshold and sensory adapta-tion.The development of digital inclusive finance can weaken the interest rate market's response to credit risk premiums.As digital inclusive finance develops more rapidly,people become more optimistic when facing credit risks.

关键词

数字普惠金融/信用风险溢价/多重门槛模型/感觉阈限/信贷市场

Key words

digital inclusive finance/credit risk premium/multiple threshold model/sensory threshold/credit market

引用本文复制引用

基金项目

广西壮族自治区一流学科建设项目(桂教科研[2022]1)

广西壮族自治区高等学校人文社会科学重点研究基地项目(桂教科研[2019]17)

广西壮族自治区高等学校重点实验室建设项目(桂教科研[2022]10)

出版年

2024
长江师范学院学报
长江师范学院

长江师范学院学报

影响因子:0.263
ISSN:1674-3652
参考文献量28
段落导航相关论文