The occurrence of dam failures in small and medium-sized reservoirs in our country caused by excessive floods for heavy rain was frequent,which will cause a serious threat to the people's lives and property and the surround-ing environment.The evaluation of dam failure consequences has characteristics such as fuzziness and randomness.The main methods of dam failure assessment was highly subjective,which cannot reflect the comprehensive level of e-valuation objectives.Therefore,the advantages of the uncertainty inference of the cloud model with the qualitative and quantitative analysis of the extensible matter-element theory were combined to construct a comprehensive evaluation model for the consequences of dam failure in this paper.The effectiveness and applicability for the extendable cloud model were tested through engineering example,which will provide reference for scientific evaluation of the severity of dam failure consequences.
关键词
中小型水库/可拓物元模型/云模型/溃坝后果/评价
Key words
small and medium-sized reservoirs/matter-element extension model/cloud model/consequence of dam failure/evaluation