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基于博弈论组合赋权的旅客风险态势感知模型研究

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[目的/意义]当前,民航公安正逐步推进"平安民航"和"智慧民航"建设,适应民航定级安检评判维度和标准的统一化要求.[方法/过程]提出一种民航旅客风险态势感知模型,对旅客风险进行量化评估和动态感知.通过构建民航旅客综合风险态势评价指标体系,用蒙特卡洛模拟随机生成旅客风险指标数据集,以基于博弈论改进的熵权法、BWM法为量化依据,以一种组合赋权的方式对指标体系进行赋权计算,最终以雷达图的可视化结果呈现.[结果/结论]提出的评估模型可为民航旅客风险定级过程提供理论支撑,能够有效提高民航安检工作效率.
Research on Passenger Risk Situation Awareness Model Based on Game Theory Combination Weighting
[Purpose/Significance]Currently,civil aviation public security is gradually promoting the construction of"safe civil aviation"and"smart civil aviation"to meet the unified requirements of the e-valuation dimensions and standards of civil aviation grading security.[Method/process]A risk situation awareness model for civil aviation passengers is proposed,which quantitatively evaluates and dynamically perceives passenger risks.By constructing a comprehensive risk assessment index system for civil aviation passengers and using Monte Carlo simulation to randomly generate a passenger risk index dataset,the in-dex system is weighted by a combination weighting method taking the improved entropy weight method and BWM method based on game theory as quantitative basis.Finally,the visualization results are pres-ented in radar charts.[Result/Conclusion]The proposed evaluation model can provide theoretical sup-port for the risk classification process of civil aviation passengers,effectively improving the efficiency of civil aviation grading security.

situation awarenesscivil aviation securitygame theorycombination weightingRadar chart

余梓乔、冯文刚、刘阳

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中国人民公安大学国家安全学院,北京 100038

态势感知 民航安保 博弈论 组合赋权 雷达图

2024

中国人民公安大学学报(自然科学版)
中国人民公安大学

中国人民公安大学学报(自然科学版)

影响因子:0.33
ISSN:1007-1784
年,卷(期):2024.30(3)