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中国农民生活富裕的时空分异、宏观影响因素及作用机制

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生活富裕涉及农民最关心、最直接、最现实的利益问题,是实施乡村振兴战略的根本落脚点和实现共同富裕的必然要求.在构建兼顾物质与精神、绝对与相对、静态与动态、货币与非货币形式等不同层面的农民生活富裕评价指标体系的基础上,利用2015-2021年中国省级面板数据,通过熵值法、核密度估计、固定效应模型等方法实证分析中国农民生活富裕水平的时空分异特征、宏观影响因素及调节作用机制.结果表明:中国农民生活富裕水平整体大幅提升,但存在明显的区域差异、维度差异和省际差异.发展省域经济、推动城镇化建设、因地制宜扩大农作物播种面积、引导产业结构高度化与合理化均能提高农民生活富裕水平,但经济发展、城镇化率、产业结构高度化对农民生活富裕水平的影响存在"替代效应",且金融集聚水平的提升会削弱省域经济发展对农民生活富裕的促进作用.
Spatial and Temporal Differentiation,Macro Influencing Factors and Mechanism of Farmers'Living Affluence in China
Living affluence concerning farmers'most concerned,direct and realistic interests,which is the fundamental foothold of implementing the rural revitalization strategy and the inevitable requirement of realizing common prosperity.Based on an evaluation index system of farmers'living affluence,which takes into account different dimension forms of material and spirit,absolute and relative,static and dynamic,monetary and non-monetary,and using 31 provincial panel data from 2015 to 2021,this paper employs the entropy method,kernel density estimation and fixed effect model to empirically analyze the spatial and temporal differentiation,macro influencing factors and mediation mechanism of farmers'living affluence in China.The findings indicate that the level of farmers'living affluence has been greatly improved,but there are obvious differences from region,dimension and inter-province.Developing provincial economy,promoting urbanization,expanding crop sown area according to local conditionsand guiding industrial structure supererogation and rationalization would improve the level of farmers'living affluence,but there is a"substitution effect"for the impact of economic development and urbanization rate or industrial structure supererogation on the level of farmers'living affluence.Moreover,the improvement of financial aggregation level will weaken the positive impact of provincial economic development on farmers'living affluence.

living affluenceliving standardquality of lifespatial and temporal differentiation

郭君平、曲颂、吴硕

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中国农业科学院农业经济与发展研究所

生活富裕 生活水平 生活品质 时空分异

国家社会科学基金

21BJY224

2024

改革
重庆社会科学院

改革

CSTPCDCSSCICHSSCD北大核心
影响因子:2.418
ISSN:1003-7543
年,卷(期):2024.(4)