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产粮大县奖励政策对县域粮食生产的影响:有效激励抑或有限福利

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基于河南省70个产粮大县的县域面板数据模型,从多元视角评估产粮大县奖励政策对县域粮食生产的影响.结果显示:从总体效应来看,产粮大县奖励政策可显著促进县域粮食生产,存在"激励效应",且经稳健性检验后该结论依然成立;在资金类型、县域自有财力、行政区划异质性检验中,产粮大县奖励政策均可显著促进县域粮食生产,且超级产粮大县奖励资金对县域粮食生产的促进作用强于常规产粮大县,低财力县域产粮大县奖励政策对县域粮食生产的促进作用强于高财力县域,"县"一级行政区划中产粮大县奖励政策对粮食生产的促进作用强于"县级市";从调节效应来看,土地财政发展水平在产粮大县奖励政策影响县域粮食生产中存在反向调节作用.由此,提出如下政策建议:科学确定中央财政产粮大县奖励资金规模,稳定实施产粮大县奖励政策;系统优化产粮大县奖励政策的奖励资金分配结构;注重开展产粮大县奖励资金绩效评估.
The Impact of the Major Grain-Producing Counties Reward Policy on County Grain Production:Effective Motivation or Limited Welfare
Based on the county panel data model of 70 major grain-producing counties in Henan province,this paper evaluates the impact of the major grain-producing counties reward policy on county grain production from a multidimensional perspective.The findings show that in terms of the overall effect,the impact of the major grain-producing counties reward policy can significantly promote county grain production,that is,there is an"incentive effect",and the conclusion still holds after the robustness test.This paper pays attention to tests of heterogeneity,which include the type of funds,county-owned financial resources,and administrative divisions.The impact of the major grain-producing counties reward policy can significantly promote county grain production.The super grain-producing counties incentive funds for county food production is better than the regular grain-producing counties.The promotion effect of incentive policy of super grain-producing counties is stronger than that of high financial counties.Incentive policy for super grain-producing counties in low-financial-capacity counties has a stronger effect on the promotion of food production in counties than in high-financial-capacity counties.In the administrative division of"county"level,the incentive policy of large food-producing counties has a stronger role in promoting food production than"county-level cities".In terms of the regulatory effect,the level of land finance development has a reverse regulatory effect in the incentive policy for super grain-producing counties affecting food production in counties.As a result,the following policy suggestions can be obtained:firstly,scientifically determine the scale of the central government's reward funds for grain producing counties,and stably implement the reward policies for grain producing counties;the second is to optimize the allocation structure of reward funds for reward policies in major grain producing counties;thirdly,we will focus on conducting performance evaluations of reward funds for major grain producing counties.

major grain-producing countyincentive policytransfer paymentgrain production

赵和楠、刘雨诗、李智慧

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郑州大学商学院

产粮大县 奖励政策 转移支付 粮食生产

国家社会科学基金青年项目

20CJY041

2024

改革
重庆社会科学院

改革

CSTPCDCSSCICHSSCD北大核心
影响因子:2.418
ISSN:1003-7543
年,卷(期):2024.(6)
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