This paper introduces a new differential equation model,SNIR,derived from the SIR model,in-corporating a public health control factor and individuals infected but not in medical quarantine.The model is less reliant on multidimensional data.Using mid-early stage data on novel coronavirus infections,the parameters are calculated to predict the epidemic's mid-to-later stage development,yielding results in good agreement with observed data.
维普
万方数据