首页|政策组合复杂程度如何影响政策效能——基于新能源汽车推广的分析

政策组合复杂程度如何影响政策效能——基于新能源汽车推广的分析

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政策组合复杂化是当代的重要现象.为研究政策组合复杂程度如何影响政策效能,本文在阐明复杂政策组合内涵的基础上,使用2003-2017年284个城市新能源汽车推广的面板数据进行实证分析.研究发现:(1)政策组合复杂程度与政策效能呈"倒U型"关系.复杂程度适中的政策组合方能最大限度发挥政策效能,当复杂程度偏低或偏高时,政策效能将受到抑制.(2)不同维度的政策组合复杂性对政策效能的影响存在差异.政策工具数量正向影响政策效能;政策类型数量对政策效能的影响呈"U型"关系,整体上会削弱政策效能;政策领域数量对政策效能的影响呈"倒U型"关系,整体上有助于提升政策效能;参与部门数量对政策效能的影响是间接且正向的,其作用渠道是政策工具数量、政策类型数量、政策领域数量.(3)多元政策区位与多元政策时序在政策工具数量、政策类型数量、政策领域数量、参与部门数量影响政策效能的过程中发挥调节作用.本文深化了政策组合理论,为政策组合复杂性研究提供重要概念依据,明确了政策组合复杂程度与政策效能的基本关系模式,并发展出有关政策一致性、部门协同等问题的新认知.另外,本文还为新兴产业发展、能源转型、气候变化应对等复杂问题的解决提供了重要参考.
How the Complexity of Policy Mix Affects Policy Effectiveness——An Analysis Based on the Promotion of New Energy Vehicles
The policy mix tends to be more complex is an important phenomenon.In order to study how the complexity of policy mix affects policy effectiveness,this paper defines what constitutes a complex policy mix and uses the panel data of new energy vehicle promotion in 284 cities from 2003 to 2017 to conduct empirical analysis.The research finds that:(1)The policy mix complexity and policy effectiveness have an"inverted U-shaped"relationship.Only a moderately complex policy mix can maximize policy effectiveness.When the com-plexity is lower or higher,the policy effectiveness will be inhibited.(2)Different dimensions of policy mix complexity have different impacts on policy effectiveness.The number of policy instruments positively affects policy effectiveness.The impact of the number of policy types on policy effectiveness is in a"U-shaped"rela-tionship,which will weaken policy effectiveness as a whole.The impact of the number of policy areas on policy effectiveness is an"inverted U-shaped"relationship,and it helps to improve policy effectiveness as a whole.The number of participating departments has an indirect and positive impact on policy effectiveness,and its ways are the number of policy instruments,policy types,and policy areas.(3)Multiple policy locations and multiple policy timing play a moderating role in the process of influencing policy effectiveness through the number of policy instruments,policy types,policy areas,and participating departments.This paper deepens the theory of policy mix,provides an important conceptual basis for the study of policy mix complexity,clarifies the basic relationship between policy mix complexity and policy effectiveness,and develops new cognitions on is-sues such as policy consistency and departmental coordination.In addition,this paper also provides important references for solving complex issues such as the development of emerging industries,energy transition,and climate change.

Policy Mixthe Complexity of Policy MixPolicy EffectivenessPromotion of New Energy VehiclesCarbon Emission

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北京大学政府管理学院,北京 100871

政策组合 政策组合复杂程度 政策效能 新能源汽车推广 碳排放

2024

公共管理学报
哈尔滨工业大学管理学院

公共管理学报

CSSCICHSSCD北大核心
影响因子:3
ISSN:1672-6162
年,卷(期):2024.21(1)
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