首页|医保按人头付费改革对过度医疗及医疗费用的影响研究——基于我国西部X市Y区基层医疗数据

医保按人头付费改革对过度医疗及医疗费用的影响研究——基于我国西部X市Y区基层医疗数据

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本文以基层医疗机构医保按人头付费改革为切入点,采用匿名标准化病人方法(USP)收集2019年与2021年按人头付费改革初期与深化改革时期的过度医疗与医疗费用数据,运用基于随机推断的小样本双重差分模型(RI-DID)分析按人头付费改革对过度医疗与医疗费用的影响,并探讨其作用机制.研究发现,相较于基线,改革使实施组USP的次均医疗总费用、检查费用与药品费用显著降低.尽管改革后医生提供过度医疗服务和检查的动机依旧存在,但改革为医生带来享有人头费结余的经济激励和承担超支不补的经济风险,也对其提供的医疗服务数量与质量进行考核,因此,医生提供过度医疗服务与降低医疗费用的竞争和冲突会始终存在,表现为"竞争效应",也就是"收入效应"与"替代效应"的互相作用.在二者共同作用下,医生提供过度医疗服务和检查的发生情况与发生程度均有所减弱,这使患者次均总费用和检查费用进一步降低,符合改革预期.本文结论为推进分级诊疗和实现"十四五"卫生健康发展目标下,基层医疗卫生支付改革与质量提升相关方案和配套政策的设计提供了启示.
The Impact of Capitation Reform on Overuse and Healthcare Expenditure——Based on the Primary Care Facilities'Data of District Y of X City in Western China
Based on the capitation reform of medical insurance in primary care,using the anonymous standard-ized patient(USP)method to collect data on overuse and healthcare expenditure in primary care facilities dur-ing the initial and deepening periods of capitation reform in 2019 and 2021 and applying the Randomization Inference Differences-in-Differences(RI-DID)model,the objective of this paper is to investigate the impact of capitation reform on overuse and healthcare expenditure in primary care and to explore the mechanism of the reform.We found that compared to the baseline,the implementation of capitation reform significantly reduced the per capita total costs,test costs,and drug costs for USPs in the treatment group.Nextly,despite the fact that the motivation for doctors to provide overuse of medical services and tests still exists after the reform,the capitation reform has brought economic incentives for doctors to enjoy the surplus of capitation fees and bear the economic risk of overspending without reimbursement.The capitation reform also assesses the quantity and quality of healthcare services provided by doctors.Therefore,the competition and conflict between doctors'pro-vision of overuse of medical services and the reduction of medical costs will always exist,which is manifested in the"competition effect",that is,the mutual interaction of the"income effect"and the"substitution effect".Under the combined effect of the two,the occurrence and extent of overuse of medical services and tests pro-vided by doctors were weakened,which led to further reductions in the total costs and test costs,in line with the expectations of the capitation reform.The conclusions of this paper provide insights for advancing the hier-archical diagnosis and treatment,as well as designing relevant programs and supporting policies for primary healthcare payment reform and quality improvement under the"14th Five-Year Plan"health development goals.

Healthcare ReformCapitationOveruse of HealthcareHealthcare ExpenditureMedical Insurance

任杨玲、沈迟、曹丹、周忠良

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西南财经大学公共管理学院,成都 611130

西安交通大学公共政策与管理学院,西安 710049

医疗改革 按人头付费 过度医疗 医疗费用 医保

国家自然科学基金面上项目中央高校基本科研业务费专项资金项目

71874137JBK2304131

2024

公共管理学报
哈尔滨工业大学管理学院

公共管理学报

CSSCICHSSCD北大核心
影响因子:3
ISSN:1672-6162
年,卷(期):2024.21(1)
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