干旱区地理2025,Vol.48Issue(1) :1-10.DOI:10.12118/j.issn.1000-6060.2024.131

1981-2020年陕西省暖季不同历时强降水时空变化特征

Spatial and temporal variations of heavy precipitation with different durations during warm season in Shaanxi Province from 1981 to 2020

蔡新玲 蔡依晅 叶殿秀 李茜 户元涛 胡琳
干旱区地理2025,Vol.48Issue(1) :1-10.DOI:10.12118/j.issn.1000-6060.2024.131

1981-2020年陕西省暖季不同历时强降水时空变化特征

Spatial and temporal variations of heavy precipitation with different durations during warm season in Shaanxi Province from 1981 to 2020

蔡新玲 1蔡依晅 2叶殿秀 3李茜 1户元涛 1胡琳1
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作者信息

  • 1. 陕西省气候中心,陕西 西安 710014
  • 2. 周至县应急管理局,陕西 西安 710400
  • 3. 国家气候中心,北京 100081
  • 折叠

摘要

利用1981-2020年陕西省暖季(5-9月)95个国家气象观测站小时降水量资料,结合多种数理统计方法分析4个历时(1 h、3h、6h、12h)强降水的时空变化.结果表明:(1)陕西省短历时强降水主要集中在7-8月,4个历时强降水高发区均位于陕南秦巴山区,稀发区位于关中平原中部和陕北长城沿线.(2)各历时降水极值的空间差异均较大,历时越短,极值分布的局地性越强.(3)近40 a,陕西省各历时强降水均呈增多增强趋势,尤以3h强降水的增加最为显著.(4)各历时强降水的趋势变化在空间上表现为非均一性,陕北黄河沿线和陕南中南部强降水呈增多趋势,陕北南部和关中平原中部呈减少趋势,且历时越短,强降水呈增多趋势的范围越大.(5)强降水日变化南北不同,历时越短,强降水的日变化越明显,特别是陕北短历时强降水日变化最为突出,且在傍晚或夜间易发生强降水事件,其危害更大.

Abstract

This study analyzes the spatiotemporal changes in four durations of heavy precipitation(1 h,3 h,6 h,12 h)for warm season(May-September)in Shaanxi Province,China during 1981-2020 based on 95 national meteorological observation stations and different statistical methods.The results show that:(1)The short duration heavy precipitation in Shaanxi mainly occurs during July-August.The regions with high frequency of heavy pre-cipitation in four durations are located in the Qinling-Daba Mountains of southern Shaanxi,and with low frequen-cy of that occur in the central Guanzhong Plain and the region along the Great Wall of northern Shaanxi.(2)The spatial differences of precipitation extremes in each duration are large,and the shorter duration with the stronger local distribution of the extreme precipitation.(3)In the past 40 years,the intensity and frequency of the each du-ration of heavy precipitation are increasing and enchancing,especially for the 3 h duration.(4)The spatial trends in each duration of heavy precipitation is non-uniformity with increased trends along the Yellow River in north-ern Shaanxi and south-central Shaanxi and decreased that in the south of northern Shaanxi and the central of Guanzhong Plain,and mostly,the shorter duration,the larger extent of increased trends.(5)The diurnal variation of heavy precipitation represent geographical differences in southern and northern Shaanxi.The shorter durations often accompany more obvious diurnal variation,especially for the northern Shaanxi,and the heavy precipitation usually occurs in the evening or at night,which would cause more serious disasters.

关键词

短历时强降水/变化趋势/时空分布/陕西省

Key words

short duration heavy rainfall/change trend/spatial and temporal distribution/Shaanxi Province

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出版年

2025
干旱区地理
中国科学院新疆生态与地理研究 中国地理学会

干旱区地理

CSTPCDCSCD北大核心
影响因子:1.863
ISSN:1000-6060
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