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高质量发展的新疆实践:评估体系构建及测度研究

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高质量发展是全面建设社会主义现代化国家的首要任务,推进新疆高质量发展,加快实现现代化,迫切需要科学合理的评估指标体系来反映和引领。以经济生活、资源环境、创新开放、区域融合协调、农文旅产业、八大产业集群为一级指标构建新疆高质量发展评估指标体系,利用熵值法估计新疆高质量发展指数,利用耦合协调度模型评估新疆高质量指标协同发展程度,利用障碍度分析制约新疆高质量发展的指标。结果表明:(1)新疆高质量综合发展指数从2011年的0。172增到2022年的0。785,整体发展水平相对较好;对外开放、金融保险业、经济发展、农文旅产业对高质量发展的贡献程度越来越明显,而科创投入产出、人力资本、与全国发展差距、低碳发展依然任务很重。(2)新疆高质量发展耦合协调度从2011年的0。365逐年递增到2022年的0。883,各指标之间关联性较强,呈现良性循环。2011-2014年一级指标耦合协调度年均增加0。0715,比2015-2022年高0。0384,其发展速率逐渐减缓,构成区域融合协调和资源环境2个一级指标的二级指标之间协同发展程度相对较低。(3)对历年障碍度高于0。05的指标分析,森林覆盖率、天然气生产量、金融业增加值、城市人均日生活用水量、城市污水日处理能力、金融机构人民币存款、城镇登记失业率、建成区绿化覆盖率、农村用电量、化肥施用折纯量是制约新疆高质量发展的因素。因此,提出优化科技资源配置,提升科技投入效能;把握后发优势,加快融入国家战略步伐;深化供给侧结构性改革,推动产业结构转型的对策建议。
Practice of high quality development in Xinjiang:Construction and measurement of evaluation system
High-quality development is the cornerstone of building a modern socialist country.To advance high-quality development in Xinjiang,China,and accelerate its modernization,there is an urgent need for a scientific and rational evaluation index system to both reflect and guide progress.This study constructs a high-quality devel-opment evaluation index system for Xinjiang,incorporating primary indicators such as economic life,resource en-vironment,innovation and opening up,regional integration and coordination,agricultural and cultural tourism in-dustries,and eight major industrial clusters.Using the entropy method,the high-quality development index of Xinjiang is estimated.The coupling coordination degree model evaluates the degree of coordinated development of high-quality indicators in Xinjiang,while obstacle analysis identifies the factors constraining high-quality de-velopment.The findings reveal the following:(1)Xinjiang's comprehensive high-quality development index in-creased from 0.172 in 2011 to 0.785 in 2022,reflecting a relatively favorable overall development level.The opening to the outside world,financial and insurance industries,economic development,and agricultural,cultur-al,and tourism industries have made increasingly significant contributions to high-quality development.Howev-er,challenges remain in the areas of science and technology input-output efficiency,human capital,the develop-ment gap with the national average,and low-carbon development.(2)The coupling coordination degree of Xinji-ang's high-quality development improved from 0.365 in 2011 to 0.883 in 2022,indicating strong inter-indicator correlation and a virtuous cycle.Between 2011 and 2014,the coupling and coordination degree of first-class indi-cators increased by 0.0715 per year,0.0384 higher than the growth rate observed from 2015 to 2022,signaling a gradual slowdown.The degree of collaborative development between the two primary indicators,namely region-al integration coordination and resource environment,is relatively low.(3)Analysis of indicators with obstacle values exceeding 0.05 over the years identifies forest coverage,natural gas production,added value of the finan-cial industry,daily per capita domestic water consumption in cities,urban sewage treatment capacity,RMB depos-its of financial institutions,registered urban unemployment rates,green coverage of built-up areas,rural electrici-ty consumption,and reductions in chemical fertilizer use as key factors restricting Xinjiang's high-quality devel-opment.To address these constraints,the study proposes optimizing the allocation of scientific and technological resources,enhancing the efficiency of technological investments,leveraging latecomer advantages,accelerating integration into national strategies,deepening supply-side structural reforms,and promoting industrial structural transformation.

high quality developmentevaluation indicator systemdevelopment indexXinjiang

李刚

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中共伊犁州委党校经济管理教研室,新疆 伊宁 835000

高质量发展 评估指标体系 发展指数 新疆

2025

干旱区地理
中国科学院新疆生态与地理研究 中国地理学会

干旱区地理

北大核心
影响因子:1.863
ISSN:1000-6060
年,卷(期):2025.48(1)