首页|基于"双碳"视角的丝绸之路经济带交通碳减排驱动因素分析

基于"双碳"视角的丝绸之路经济带交通碳减排驱动因素分析

扫码查看
"双碳"目标对交通运输业的低碳化转型提出了新的要求,文中运用LMDI因素分解法与Tapio脱钩模型相结合,分析了2003-2021年丝绸之路经济带交通运输碳密度、交通运输强度、能源强度、行业规模、经济增长和人口规模等因素对交通碳排放的影响及其对脱钩的贡献程度.结果表明:交通运输强度、经济增长和人口规模促进了丝绸之路经济带交通碳排放增长,交通运输碳密度、能源强度和行业规模抑制了丝绸之路经济带交通碳排放增长.其中,经济增长效应是促进丝绸之路经济带交通碳排放增长的主导因素,且其脱钩指数贡献值最大,是阻碍交通碳排放脱钩的主要因素;而交通运输碳密度效应是抑制丝绸之路经济带交通碳排放增长的主要因素,为促进交通碳排放脱钩做出了主要贡献.
Factors driving the carbon emission reduction in transport along the Silk Road Economic Belt:An analysis from the perspective of"double carbon"
To achieve the"dual carbon"goal,new requirement of low-carbon transformation for transport industry is put forward.Combining LMDI factor decomposition method with Tapio decoupling model,we analyze the impacts of transport carbon density,transport intensity,energy intensity,industry scale,economic growth and population on transport carbon emissions and their contribution to decoupling in the Silk Road Economic Belt from 2003 to 2021.The results indicate that transport intensity,economic growth and population promoted the growth of transport carbon emissions in the Silk Road Economic Belt,while transport carbon density,energy intensity and industry scale inhibited the growth of transport carbon emissions in the Silk Road Economic Belt.Among them,economic growth effect is the leading factor to promote the growth of transport carbon emissions,and its decoupling index has the largest contribution value,which is the main factor hindering the decoupling of transport carbon emissions.Transport carbon density effect is the main factor to curb the growth of transport carbon emissions,making a major contribution to promoting the decoupling of transport carbon emissions in the Silk Road Economic Belt.

transport carbon emissiondouble carbonLMDI decompositionTapio decoupling modelSilk Road Economic Belt

王超、武丽敏

展开 >

长安大学经济与管理学院,西安 710064

山东大学蓝绿发展研究院,威海 264209

陕西高校青年创新团队,西安 710064

交通碳排放 双碳 LMDI分解 Tapio脱钩模型 丝绸之路经济带

陕西省科技发展计划项目陕西省社会科学基金陕西省教育厅科学研究计划项目山东省重点研发计划项目

2023-JC-YB-6302022D13821JP0052023RZA02019

2024

干旱区资源与环境
中国自然资源学会干旱半干旱地区研究委员会 内蒙古农业大学

干旱区资源与环境

CSSCICHSSCD北大核心
影响因子:1.492
ISSN:1003-7578
年,卷(期):2024.38(2)
  • 2
  • 36