首页|预防性动机、相对贫困脆弱性与返贫阻断——来自934户易地扶贫搬迁户的证据

预防性动机、相对贫困脆弱性与返贫阻断——来自934户易地扶贫搬迁户的证据

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以内蒙古、甘肃、山西三省(自治区)大型易地扶贫搬迁农户为研究对象,基于储蓄、体检、养老保险参与和医疗保险参与等四种预防性动机与家庭相对贫困脆弱性理论阐释,构建预防性动机抑制返贫的传导机制,运用Logit模型探究预防性动机的返贫阻断效应.研究表明:1)易地扶贫搬迁农户仍面临一定的返贫风险,建档立卡、家庭规模、家庭老龄化、家庭劳动力结构显著影响家庭返贫概率.2)预防性动机在规模性返贫方面起到抑制家庭返贫的功能,但是,易地扶贫搬迁农户的储蓄、体检与养老保险参与覆盖率均较低.3)在巩固拓展脱贫攻坚成果同乡村振兴有效衔接时期,必须高度重视原深度贫困地区大型易地扶贫搬迁农户生计转型脆弱性.在研究制定返贫监测与可持续生计能力培育方面,需要高度聚焦充当农户内在稳定器的预防性行为,同时辅以基本公共服务供给质量提升等扶持.
Precautionary motive,relative poverty vulnerability and prevention of poverty return
Taking rural households relocated for poverty alleviation from large poverty-stricken areas in Inner Mongolia,Gansu and Shanxi provinces(autonomous regions)as the research object,and based on four kinds of precautionary motives,namely savings,physical examination,endowment insurance and medical insurance participation,and the explanation of the theory of relative poverty and vulnerability of families,this paper constructs the transmission mechanism of precautionary motive to inhibit poverty return,and uses logit model to investigate the effect of precautionary motive on poverty reduction.The results indicate that:1)The farmers relocated for poverty alleviation still face a certain risk of returning to poverty.Targeting performance,family size,family aging and family labor structure significantly affect the probability of returning to poverty.2)Precautionary motive of relocated farmers inhibits the scale of poverty return,but the coverages of savings,physical examination and endowment insurance participation of relocated households are low.During the period when consolidation and expedition of the achievements of poverty alleviation are effectively transferring to rural revitalization,we must attach great importance to the vulnerability of livelihood transformation for relocated farmers.In terms of formulating poverty reduction monitoring and cultivating sustainable livelihood capacity,it needs a strong focus on the preventive behaviour as an intrinsic stabilizer for farmers.

precautionary motiverelative poverty vulnerabilitypoverty alleviation relocationprevention of poverty return

史俊宏、苏日古嘎、赵立娟、吴春娜

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天津理工大学管理学院,天津 300384

内蒙古农村牧区治理能力现代化研究基地,呼和浩特 010070

内蒙古财经大学经济学院,呼和浩特 010070

西安培华学院会计与金融学院,西安 710162

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预防性动机 相对贫困脆弱性 易地扶贫搬迁 返贫阻断

国家社科基金项目国家社科基金项目内蒙古自治区高等学校创新团队发展计划支持

19BJY16418BMZ142NMGIRT2201

2024

干旱区资源与环境
中国自然资源学会干旱半干旱地区研究委员会 内蒙古农业大学

干旱区资源与环境

CSSCICHSSCD北大核心
影响因子:1.492
ISSN:1003-7578
年,卷(期):2024.38(3)
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