考虑历史碳转移的我国省际建筑业碳配额分配研究
Carbon quota allocation in China's provincial construction industry considering historical carbon transfer
王志强 1任金哥 1原媛 2李可慧1
作者信息
- 1. 青岛理工大学管理工程学院,青岛 266520
- 2. 青岛时代建筑设计有限公司,青岛 266520
- 折叠
摘要
为顺利实现"碳中和,碳达峰"目标,在建筑业构建兼顾公平和效率的碳配额分配方案迫在眉睫.文中以我国建筑业为研究对象,在考虑历史碳转移量和兼顾公平与效率的基础上,构建了 XGBoost-熵权法-零和博弈数据包络分析(ZSG-DEA)的碳配额分配模型,并根据2030年碳达峰目标对我国30个省份的建筑业进行碳配额分配.结果表明:我国建筑业区域碳转移空间特征明显,建筑业发展水平高的地区应承担更多碳减排责任;文中方案有效地兼顾了公平与效率原则,大部分省份建筑业在碳减排方面的压力较小;政府应因地制宜地制定地区建筑业碳减排政策,以保证更好地实现2030年碳达峰目标.文中为我国建立更公平有效的初始碳配额分配机制、丰富碳交易市场机制、推动地区协同减碳提供帮助.
Abstract
In order to successfully realize the goal of"carbon neutral and carbon peak",it is urgent to construct a carbon quota allocation scheme that considers both fairness and efficiency in the construction industry.This paper takes China's construction industry as the research object,and based on the consideration of historical carbon transfer volume,constructs a carbon quota allocation model combining fairness and efficiency with XGBoost-entropy weighting method-zero-sum game data envelopment analysis(ZSG-DEA),and then allocates carbon quotas to China's construction industry in 30 provinces according to the goal of reaching the peak of the carbon level by 2030.The results show that the spatial characteristics of regional carbon transfer in China's construction industry are obvious,and regions with a high level of development of the construction industry should take more responsibility for emission reduction.The scheme proposed in this paper effectively balances the principles of fairness and efficiency,and the construction industry in most of the provinces is under less pressure in terms of carbon emission reduction.The government should formulate a regional carbon emission reduction policy in the construction industry according to the local conditions to ensure a better realization of the peak carbon target in China in 2030.The conclusion of this paper are helpful for China to establish a fairer and more effective initial carbon quota allocation mechanism,enrich the carbon trading market mechanism,and promote regional synergistic carbon reduction.
关键词
历史碳转移/建筑碳配额分配/XGBoost/ZSG-DEAKey words
historical carbon transfers/allocation of carbon quota for the construction industry/XGBoost/ZSG-DEA引用本文复制引用
基金项目
国家自然科学基金项目(71471094)
青岛理工大学人文社会科学研究基金(Crw2023-006)
出版年
2024
国家科技期刊平台
NSTL
万方数据