首页|灌溉用水压力对粮农生产适应性行为的影响

灌溉用水压力对粮农生产适应性行为的影响

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水资源非农化挤占农业用水、加剧灌溉用水压力,导致粮食生产损失和种粮收益萎缩,采取适应性措施来防范化解农业用水风险势在必行.基于山东14地市调研数据,利用Double-Hurdle模型探讨了水资源非农化引致灌溉用水压力对粮农生产适应性行为的影响效应、作用机制及异质性.研究表明:灌溉用水压力能够显著促进粮农生产适应性决策选择和采用强度;从经营规模和农户生计异质性来看,灌溉用水压力对大规模农户决策选择和小规模农户采用强度的影响程度较大,对兼农户、农兼户和纯农户决策选择的影响程度依次降低,对采用强度影响表现为纯农户>农兼户>兼农户;作用机制分析表明,风险感知在灌溉用水压力与粮农生产适应性行为之间发挥重要作用.因此,在推动农田水利设施建设、适应性技术和信息有效供给的同时,应针对不同规模和生计类型的农户设计差异化技术推广策略,推动农业适水高效发展.
The impact of irrigation water pressure on grain growers'productive adaptation behavior
Non-agriculturalization of water resources squeezes out agricultural water and intensifies irrigation water pressure,resulting in losses in grain production and a decline in crop yields.Farmers must take adaptive measures to prevent and resolve agricultural water risk.Based on survey data from 14 cities in Shandong Province,we use the Double-Hurdle model to explore the effect,mechanism,and heterogeneity of irrigation water pressure caused by non-agriculturalization of water resources on grain growers'behavior of productive adaptation.The research shows that irrigation water pressure can significantly promote the decision-making and adoption intensity of grain growers'behavior of productive adaptation.From the perspective of management scale and farmers'livelihood heterogeneity,the impact of irrigation water pressure on large-scale farmers'decision-making and small-scale farmers'adoption intensity is great.The impact of irrigation water pressure on decision-making of part-time farmers(whose livelihoods are with little agriculture),part-time farmers(whose livelihoods are agriculture and with little some other)and pure farmers decreases successively,and the impact on the adoption intensity is manifested as pure farmers>part-time farmers(whose livelihoods are agriculture and with little some other)>part-time farmers(whose livelihoods are with little agriculture).The analysis of the action mechanism indicates that risk perception plays an important role in the relationship between irrigation water pressure and grain growers'behavior of productive adaptation.Therefore,we should promote the construction of farmland water conservancy facilities and the effective supply of adaptive technology and information.It is also necessary to design differentiated technology promotion strategies for farmers with different scales and livelihood types,to promote water-suitable and efficient development of agriculture.

water resourcesnon-agriculturiaztionirrigation water pressuregrain growersproductive adaptation behavior

李长松、周霞、周玉玺

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山东农业大学经济管理学院,泰安 271018

水资源 非农化 灌溉用水压力 粮农 生产适应性行为

国家社会科学基金国家社会科学基金山东省乡村振兴研究课题

21BJY13019BGJ171XCZX2023105

2024

干旱区资源与环境
中国自然资源学会干旱半干旱地区研究委员会 内蒙古农业大学

干旱区资源与环境

CSSCICHSSCD北大核心
影响因子:1.492
ISSN:1003-7578
年,卷(期):2024.38(6)