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粮食生产脆弱性如何影响农户收入?

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保障种粮农户的收入,对维护国家粮食安全有着重要的理论与现实意义.文中基于微观视角,参考世界银行的脆弱性定义以及相关研究构建粮食生产脆弱性研究框架,依据投入产出方程对粮食生产脆弱性进行测度,实证分析黄淮海粮食主产区农户粮食生产脆弱性对农户收入的影响效应与机制,探究不同农户群体粮食生产脆弱性对农户收入的影响差异.结果表明:1)粮食生产脆弱性对农户的农业收入有着显著的负向影响.2)土地流转行为以及极端气温变化是粮食生产脆弱性影响收入的机制所在.3)不同农户群体粮食生产脆弱性对收入的影响效应存在差异.最后,针对结论提出了关注农业脆弱群体的农业生产活动、引导不同农民合理转变农业生产方式以及重视极端天气等自然风险对农业生产的不利影响等相关对策建议.
How does the vulnerability of grain production impact the income of grain growers?
Ensuring the stable income for grain growers holds crucial theoretical and practical implications for upholding national food security.This paper adopts a micro perspective,draws upon the World Bank's vulnerability definition and pertinent research to construct a framework for assessing vulnerability in grain production.By employing the input-output equation,it quantifies the vulnerability of grain production.Through empirical analysis conducted in the primary grain-producing regions of the Huang-Huai-Hai area,this research delves into the impact and mechanisms of grain production vulnerability on the income of grain growers,explores the variations in the impact of grain production vulnerability on income across diverse grain grower groups.The findings reveal:Firstly,there are a pronounced negative impact of grain production vulnera-bility on the income of grain growers.Secondly,the land transfer behavior and extreme temperature fluctuations serve as mechanisms through which grain production vulnerability influences income.Thirdly,there are discerni-ble differences in the effects of grain production vulnerability on income among various grain grower groups.In conclusion,actionable recommendations are presented,emphasizing the necessity to prioritize agricultural pro-duction activities for vulnerable groups,guide diverse farmers in judiciously transitioning agricultural production methodologies,and underscore strategies to mitigate the detrimental impacts of extreme weather and other natural risks on agricultural production.

grain production vulnerabilityagricultural household incomeland transferextreme temperaturesage

董恺、穆月英

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中国农业大学经济管理学院,北京 100083

粮食生产脆弱性 农户收入 土地流转 极端气温 年龄

国家社会科学基金重大项目

18ZDA074

2024

干旱区资源与环境
中国自然资源学会干旱半干旱地区研究委员会 内蒙古农业大学

干旱区资源与环境

CSSCICHSSCD北大核心
影响因子:1.492
ISSN:1003-7578
年,卷(期):2024.38(7)