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中国农业现代化与碳排放效率的耦合协调关系研究

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在阐明中国农业现代化与碳排放效率耦合协调关系的基础上,文中以2012-2021年中国30个省为研究区域,采用修正的耦合协调度模型测算农业现代化与碳排放效率的耦合协调度并分析其时序特征,在此基础上用Dagum基尼系数分解法揭示农业现代化与碳排放效率耦合协调度的空间差异及来源,同时,用核密度估计探讨其动态演进特征。结果发现:1)中国农业现代化与碳排放效率耦合协调平均水平较低,尚处于濒临失调状态。2)中国农业现代化与碳排放效率耦合协调度存在明显的空间差异,且主要来源于区域间差异,其中东北与西部地区间的差异最大。3)中国农业现代化与碳排放效率耦合协调度在整体上呈多极化趋势,东北与西部地区与整体趋势相似,东部呈两极化趋势,中部从双峰逐渐演变为无极化。
Research on the coupling coordination relationship between agricultural modernization and carbon emission efficiency in China
On the basis of elucidating the coupling and coordination relationship between agricultural modernization and carbon emission efficiency in China,taking 30 provinces in China from 2012 to 2021 as the research area,this paper uses a modified coupling and coordination degree model to calculate the coupling and coordination degree between agricultural modernization and carbon emission efficiency,and analyzes its temporal characteristics.Based on this,the Dagum Gini coefficient decomposition method is used to reveal the spatial differences and sources of the coupling and coordination degree between agricultural modernization and carbon emission efficiency,and the kernel density estimation is applied to explored its dynamic evolution characteristics.It is found that:1)The average degree of coupling coordination is relatively lower,still being on the brink of imbalance.2)There is a significant spatial difference in the coupling coordination between China's agricultural modernization and carbon emission efficiency,mainly due to regional differences,with the largest difference between the northeastern and the western regions.3)The coupling coordination degree shows multi-polarization trend at the national level,and the polarization trends in northeast and western regions are similar to overall trend,while the coupling coordination degree in eastern region shows double polarization trend,and that in central region shows a trend changing from double polarization to non-polarization.

agricultural modernizationagricultural carbon emission efficiencycoupling coordination degreespatial differencedynamic evolution

石志恒、王瑞霞

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兰州财经大学农林经济管理学院,兰州 730020

兰州财经大学统计与数据科学学院,兰州 730020

农业现代化 农业碳排放效率 耦合协调度 空间差异 动态演进

国家社会科学基金

20BJY083

2024

干旱区资源与环境
中国自然资源学会干旱半干旱地区研究委员会 内蒙古农业大学

干旱区资源与环境

CSSCICHSSCD北大核心
影响因子:1.492
ISSN:1003-7578
年,卷(期):2024.38(8)