首页|消费信心重塑期的旅游消费脆弱性评价及时空演变特征分析

消费信心重塑期的旅游消费脆弱性评价及时空演变特征分析

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旅游消费群体的消费脆弱性变化程度和趋势是研判面临重大危机事件冲击后旅游市场消费恢复进程的重要参考,对在消费信心重塑期把控消费恢复政策的推进节点和政策设计要点具有重要价值.文中以旅游消费脆弱性评价模型为基础,选取新十条颁布后2022-2024 年三个重要时间段进行数据收集,构建函数模型测量31 省区市居民的旅游消费脆弱性指数,探究其时空演变特征.研究发现:1)在时序上:客观限制条件基本解除后,中国民众的旅游消费脆弱性虽整体下降,但反应-应对能力的恢复却具有滞后效应,补偿性消费行为在研究期内并没有发生.2)在时空上:风险认知地图反映出具有空间同一性的旅游消费群体对消费风险认知呈现"心理台风眼"效应、"涟漪效应"向"凹地中心"效应的过度及演变,映射了旅游者在危机发生后群体认知失调、矫正的全动态过程.
Evaluation of tourist consumption vulnerability and characterization of spatiotemporal evolution during the period of consumer confidence remodeling
The extent and trajectory of changes in the vulnerability of the tourism consumer group serve as critical references for gauging the recovery process of tourism market consumption post-major crisis events,and it is of great value for controlling the nodes of consumption recovery policies and the key points of policy design during the period of remodeling of consumer confidence.Based on the tourist consumption vulnerability evaluation model,this study applies the functional modeling method to measure residents'tourism consumption vulnerability index in 31 provinces,autonomous regions,and municipalities from 2022 to 2024,and explores its spatial and temporal evolution characteristics.The study found that:1)In terms of time series,although the vulnerability of Chinese people's tourism consumption showed an overall decreasing trend after the objective constraints were lifted,the recovery of the reaction-coping ability index had a lagging effect,and compensatory consumption behaviors did not occur during the study period.2)In terms of space and time,the risk perception map reflects that the tourism consumer groups sharing spatial characteristics demonstrated a evolution from"psychological typhoon eye"effect and"ripple effect"to"concave center effect"in their perception of consumption risks.The transition of the three effects maps the whole dynamic process of group cognitive dissonance and correction after the crisis.

tourist consumption vulnerabilityspatial and temporal characteristicsconsumption recovery

左文超、胡北明、邱雪梅、马文宇

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贵州财经大学工商管理学院 贵阳 550025

旅游消费脆弱性 时空特征 消费恢复

国家社会科学基金项目教育部人文社科青年基金项目贵州省高等学校智慧旅游创新团队

22BMZ15422YJC790197黔教技[2022]017号

2024

干旱区资源与环境
中国自然资源学会干旱半干旱地区研究委员会 内蒙古农业大学

干旱区资源与环境

CSSCICHSSCD北大核心
影响因子:1.492
ISSN:1003-7578
年,卷(期):2024.38(10)