From 1.0 to 2.0:Continuation of the Trump Administration's Security Strategy Toward China and Its Policy Changes
The 2024 U.S.presidential election ended with the return of former President Donald Trump.In the eight years from"Trump 1.0"to"Trump 2.0",the international security environment,Sino-U.S.relations,U.S.domestic political and economic dynamics,and Trump's personal situation have undergone significant changes.The international security environment is becoming increasingly severe and has entered a historical turning point;Sino-U.S.relations have been going downhill due to the U.S.strategic competition against China;the U.S.is beset with political and social fragmentation as well as economic woes;the American public earnestly call for"Trump 2.0"to clearly respond to their demands;Trump,a deal-maker with a business mindset and a strong leadership style,has displayed an obvious inclination to leave his lasting legacy.Generally speaking,the security strategy of"Trump 2.0"toward China will feature stability and continuity:It will inherent Biden's strategic competition approach toward China and promote the"Biden plus Trump"composite agenda,placing economic and trade issues at the core of its strategic competition against China.At the same time,China policies of Trump 2.0 may also show some changes,which are reflected in the focus shift in its foreign policies from China to the Ukrainian crisis and the Israeli-Palestinian conflict,the uncontrollability of the bilateral trade and economic relationship as a result of Trump's volatile personality,greater pressure on Trump's trade and economic policies at both international and domestic levels,and the self-limitation of Sino-U.S.relations in the face of the new"Trump shock".
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