首页|自由贸易试验区对区域经济增长具有带动效应吗——来自70大中城市的经验证据

自由贸易试验区对区域经济增长具有带动效应吗——来自70大中城市的经验证据

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文章运用渐进双重差分法系统评估自由贸易试验区对区域经济增长的带动效应,并测度其带动效应大小、持续时间及其空间溢出距离.研究发现,自由贸易试验区显著带动其所在地区年均GDP,增速约2.29个百分点,且考察期内其设立后持续4年均显著;自由贸易试验区对其周边250~400公里范围内地区经济增长具有显著带动效应,对其周边250公里范围内地区经济增长不存在显著负向虹吸效应,对距离超过400公里的地区经济增长不存在显著带动效应;自由贸易试验区通过改变地区经济增长初始条件、要素生产率、市场化改革途径带动该地区经济增长.政策应优先支持核心城市申报自由贸易试验区,合理控制其规划地理空间距离,主动对接并推进"一带一路"高质量发展.
Do Pilot Free Trade Zones Have the Driving Effect on Regional Economic Growth:Empirical Evidences From 70 Medium-sized and Large-sized Cities
This paper uses staggered DID method to systematically evaluate the driving effect of pilot free trade zones on regional economic growth and measures the degree,dura-tion and spatial spillover distance of the driving effect.The research shows that:pilot free trade zones significantly drive the average annual GDP growth of the region where they are located with a growth rate of about 2.29 percentage points,and this driving effect has been significant for four consecutive years since the establishment of pilot free trade zones during the inspection period;pilot free trade zones have significant driving effect on the economic growth of the surrounding region within a range of 250-400 kilometers,exert no significant negative siphon effect on the economic growth of the surrounding region within 250 kilome-ters and have no significant driving effect on the economic growth of the region beyond 400 kilometers;pilot free trade zones promote regional economic growth through changing initial conditions for regional economic growth,factor productivity and market-oriented reform.The policy should give priority to supporting core cities to declare pilot free trade zones,reasonably control their planned geographical and spatial distance,and actively align with and promote the high-quality development of the Belt and Road.

pilot free trade zonesregional economic growthdriving effectstaggered DID method

孙海涛、陈健生、孙海波

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国信证券北京分公司

西南财经大学区域经济研究所

云南省农村信用社联合社

自由贸易试验区 区域经济增长 带动效应 渐进双重差分法

云南财经大学青年基金项目

2022B01

2024

国际经贸探索
广东外语外贸大学

国际经贸探索

CSTPCDCSSCICHSSCD北大核心
影响因子:1.409
ISSN:1002-0594
年,卷(期):2024.40(2)
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